Consumer Confidence

The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment index was revised higher to 49.5 in June 2026, up from a preliminary reading of 48.9, although it remained slightly below forecasts of 50. Still, sentiment improved from 44.8 in May, the lowest level on record, supported in part by a moderation in gasoline prices. The expectations gauge was at 50.7, the highest in three months, compared to 49.3 in the initial estimate, as consumers’ worries over long-term consequences of the Iran conflict appear to be easing. Meanwhile, the current conditions gauge was revised lower to 47.7 from a preliminary of 48.4 and compared to 45.8 in May. The cost of living remains at the forefront of consumers’ minds. Year-ahead inflation expectations inched down to a still-elevated 4.6% from 4.8% in May, remining well above 3.4% seen in February before the Iran conflict began. Long-run inflation expectations fell more than expected to 3.3% from 3.4% in the preliminary estimate and 3.9% in May.