ORI Hits 52-Week High, Trades at a Discount: How to Play the Stock

Old Republic International Corporation ORI hit a 52-week high of $40.21 on Aug. 28. Shares closed at $39.74 after gaining 10.8% year to date, outperforming the industry’s growth of 8.3%.

With a market capitalization of $9.87 billion, the average number of shares traded in the last three months was 1.4 million.

Attractive Valuation

The stock is trading at a discount to the industry. Its price-to-book value of 1.59X is lower than the industry average of 2.48X, the Finance sector’s 4.26X and the Zacks S&P 500 Composite’s 8.42X.

The company has a Value Score of B. This style score helps find the most attractive value stocks. 

Shares of other multi-line insurers like Horace Mann Educators Corporation HMN, Assurant, Inc. AIZ and Everest Group, Ltd. EG are trading at a discount to the industry average.

ORI Trading Above 50-Day and 200-Day Moving Averages

Shares of Old Republic International are trading above the 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages (SMA) of $37.57 and $37.26, respectively, indicating solid upward momentum. SMA is a widely used technical analysis tool to predict future price trends by analyzing historical price data.

ORI’s Encouraging Growth Projection

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Old Republic International’s 2025 earnings per share indicates a year-over-year increase of 7.2%. The consensus estimate for revenues is pegged at $8.86 billion, implying a year-over-year improvement of 8.5%. The consensus estimate for 2026 earnings per share and revenues indicates an increase of 4.6% and 6.1%, respectively, from the corresponding 2024 estimates. 
The insurer has a solid track record of beating earnings estimates in each of the last four quarters, with an average of 34.73%.

Optimistic Analyst Sentiment for ORI

One of the two analysts covering the stock has raised estimates for both 2025 and 2026 over the past 60 days. Thus, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 and 2026 earnings has moved north 1.5% and 1.5%, respectively, in the past 60 days.

Average Target Price for ORI Suggests Upside

Based on short-term price targets offered by two analysts, the Zacks average price target is $42 per share. The average suggests a potential 4.9% upside from the last closing price.

ORI’s Favorable Return on Capital

Return on equity (ROE) for the trailing 12 months was 20.9%, which compared favorably with the industry’s 14.8%. This reflects its efficiency in utilizing shareholders’ funds. ORI’s ROE has been increasing over the last few quarters.

Also, return on invested capital (ROIC) has been increasing over the last few quarters as the company raised its capital investment over the same time frame. This reflects ORI’s efficiency in utilizing funds to generate income. ROIC in the trailing 12 months was 6.2%, better than the industry average of 2%.

Factors Acting in Favor of ORI

ORI has a diverse and decentralized portfolio of specialty insurance products and services. 

ORI’s General Insurance segment should continue to benefit from segmentation, better risk selection, meticulous pricing and increased use of analytics. This, in turn, has helped deliver a combined ratio below 96 for 14 years. The insurer aims for a combined ratio between 90 and 95.

The Title business, meanwhile, should continue to benefit from an expanding presence in the commercial real estate market.

End Notes

For long-term growth, the insurer continues to invest in new general insurance specialty underwriting subsidiaries and technology for both general insurance and title insurance. The insurer writes less catastrophe-exposed business than most of its peers, safeguarding its combined ratio to some extent.

ORI’s dividend history is impressive. It has hiked dividends for the last 43 years. Its dividend yield of 3.1% appears attractive compared with the industry average of 2.5%, making it an attractive pick for yield-seeking investors. The insurer also engages in regular buybacks. 

However, a high debt level, an increase in interest expense and a lower asset base in a low-interest rate environment keep us cautious about this Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) stock. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

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This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).

Zacks Investment Research