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Chicago, IL – February 5, 2026– Zacks Director of Research Sheraz Mian says, "Total earnings for the 236 S&P 500 members that have reported Q4 results are up +12.6% from the same period last year on +8.2% higher revenues."
Note: The following is an excerpt from this week's Earnings Trends report. You can access the full report that contains detailed historical actual and estimates for the current and following periods, please click here>>>
Regular readers are well aware of the Tech sector's critical role in the aggregate earnings growth picture. In fact, the sector has been a key driver of aggregate earnings growth since the second quarter of 2023. This followed a roughly six-quarter period starting in 2022 Q1, when the sector had become a growth drag. Not only has the Tech sector been producing impressive earnings growth, but the sector has also been consistently enjoying a favorable estimates revision trend for some time now.
The Tech sector's strong earnings profile has provided the fundamental underpinning for the group's positive stock market momentum. But not all Tech stocks have been thriving lately, with software stocks in particular struggling in the market.
A case in point is the recent Gartner IT quarterly release, in which it beat EPS and revenue estimates but provided subpar guidance. Artificial intelligence-centric disruption and disintermediation worries had already been weighing on Gartner shares, and the company's weak guidance added to those worries. This is the third quarter in a row that Gartner has disappointed the market with its earnings results, which is on full display in the stock's -71% decline in the trailing 12-month period.
Gartner isn't technically a software player like Adobe ADBE but rather a provider of information technology consulting services, like Accenture ACN. While market participants see downside risks to both the legacy software and IT consulting business models, sentiment is particularly negative on the latter.
You can see this in the stock market performance of these stocks.
It is important to note that the recent underperformance of Tech software and consulting operators in the stock market primarily reflects current concerns, which have not yet resulted in consistent downward revisions of earnings estimates. Nevertheless, the most recent estimate revisions trend likely offers insights into the sector's earnings outlook.
Notwithstanding the cloudy outlook for the software industry, the outlook for the Tech sector as a whole remains unequivocally positive. You can see this in the chart below, which tracks the evolution of the aggregate 2026 earnings estimates for the sector.
The Tech sector has an outsized role in the S&P 500 index. The sector is expected to bring 36.7% of the index's total earnings over the coming four-quarter period and currently accounts for 42.4% of the index's total market capitalization. The Tech sector's positive estimate revision trend is a major reason its members enjoy a strong market following and support.
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