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U.S. stock futures fell on Monday after closing higher on Friday. Futures of all the major benchmark indices were negative after the Supreme Court struck down federal tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump.
Despite the dramatic 6-3 Supreme Court ruling that invalidated President Trump’s emergency-law tariffs, equity markets remained buoyant on Friday.
Following the Supreme Court’s decision, Trump announced on Saturday an immediate increase in the baseline import tariff rate from 10% to 15%. However, it was not yet certain if formal actions had been initiated to implement these elevated duties.
Meanwhile, the 10-year Treasury bond yielded 4.08%, and the two-year bond was at 3.48%. The CME Group's FedWatch tool‘s projections show markets pricing in a 95.9% likelihood that the Federal Reserve will leave the current interest rates unchanged in March.
| Index | Performance (+/-) |
| Dow Jones | -0.27% |
| S&P 500 | -0.20% |
| Nasdaq 100 | -0.28% |
| Russell 2000 | -0.47% |
The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) and Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ), which track the S&P 500 index and Nasdaq 100 index, respectively, were lower in premarket on Monday. The SPY was down 0.24% at $687.77, while the QQQ declined 0.34% to $606.74.





Consumer discretionary, communication services, and real estate stocks led the market higher on Friday, while energy and health care sectors lagged behind.
| Index | Performance (+/-) | Value |
| Dow Jones | 0.47% | 49,625.97 |
| S&P 500 | 0.69% | 6,909.51 |
| Nasdaq Composite | 0.90% | 22,886.07 |
| Russell 2000 | -0.049% | 2,663.78 |
Mohamed El-Erian, Chief Economic Advisor at Allianz, views the current U.S. economic and market landscape as a period of significant structural shift, marked by heightened “volatility, dispersion, and fragmentation.”
In his recent assessment, he argues that the “easy world” of globalization and unifying economic frameworks has vanished, replaced by a climate where national security and domestic politics dictate market outcomes.
Regarding the economy, El-Erian is cautious about the labor market, warning that recent positive data might be a “head fake” as the underlying divergence between a cooling job market and GDP growth grows.
He is particularly concerned about the uncertainty following the Supreme Court’s tariff ruling, questioning, “Who owes what to whom?” as the administration seeks alternative legal paths for tariff collection.
For the stock market, El-Erian notes that the broad “love affair with AI” has cooled. He warns of a “market for lemons” risk where high-quality companies are unfairly punished by technical correlations with weaker names.
Despite these jitters, he suggests that selective, bottom-up investing remains viable, even as the broader market grapples with what he calls a “canary-in-the-coal-mine” moment regarding liquidity in private credit.
Here's what investors will be keeping an eye on this week.
Crude oil futures were trading lower in the early New York session by 0.38% to hover around $66.23 per barrel. Gold Spot US Dollar rose 0.82% to hover around $5,146.34 per ounce. Its last record high stood at $5,595.46 per ounce.
The U.S. Dollar Index spot was 0.22% lower at the 97.5830 level. Meanwhile, Bitcoin was trading 2.38% lower at $66,427.04 per coin.
Asian markets closed mixed on Monday as South Korea's Kospi, Hong Kong's Hang Seng, and India’s Nifty 50 indices rose. On the other hand, Japan's Nikkei 225, China’s CSI 300, and Australia's ASX 200 indices closed lower. European markets were also mixed in early trade.
Image via Shutterstock
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