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Here's What Key Metrics Tell Us About Vistra (VST) Q4 Earnings

By Zacks Equity Research | February 27, 2026, 12:00 PM

For the quarter ended December 2025, Vistra Corp. (VST) reported revenue of $4.58 billion, up 13.6% over the same period last year. EPS came in at $2.18, compared to $1.14 in the year-ago quarter.

The reported revenue represents a surprise of -14.12% over the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $5.34 billion. With the consensus EPS estimate being $2.51, the EPS surprise was -13.08%.

While investors closely watch year-over-year changes in headline numbers -- revenue and earnings -- and how they compare to Wall Street expectations to determine their next course of action, some key metrics always provide a better insight into a company's underlying performance.

As these metrics influence top- and bottom-line performance, comparing them to the year-ago numbers and what analysts estimated helps investors project a stock's price performance more accurately.

Here is how Vistra performed in the just reported quarter in terms of the metrics most widely monitored and projected by Wall Street analysts:
  • Total retail electricity sales volumes: 32,487.00 GWh compared to the 33,067.96 GWh average estimate based on two analysts.
  • Adjusted EBITDA- Retail: $645 million versus the two-analyst average estimate of $605.73 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA- West: $70 million compared to the $33.79 million average estimate based on two analysts.
  • Adjusted EBITDA- East: $631 million versus $634.85 million estimated by two analysts on average.
  • Adjusted EBITDA- Texas: $418 million versus $445.32 million estimated by two analysts on average.

View all Key Company Metrics for Vistra here>>>

Shares of Vistra have returned +8.8% over the past month versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's -0.5% change. The stock currently has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), indicating that it could perform in line with the broader market in the near term.

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Vistra Corp. (VST): Free Stock Analysis Report

This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).

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