Norwegian Cruise Line (NYSE:NCLH) Reports Sales Below Analyst Estimates In Q4 CY2025 Earnings, Stock Drops

By Adam Hejl | March 02, 2026, 6:58 AM

NCLH Cover Image

Cruise company Norwegian Cruise Line (NYSE:NCLH) fell short of the market’s revenue expectations in Q4 CY2025, but sales rose 6.4% year on year to $2.24 billion. Its non-GAAP profit of $0.28 per share was 5.5% above analysts’ consensus estimates.

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Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH) Q4 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $2.24 billion vs analyst estimates of $2.34 billion (6.4% year-on-year growth, 4.2% miss)
  • Adjusted EPS: $0.28 vs analyst estimates of $0.27 (5.5% beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $563.9 million vs analyst estimates of $555.5 million (25.1% margin, 1.5% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS guidance for the upcoming financial year 2026 is $2.38 at the midpoint, missing analyst estimates by 8.3%
  • EBITDA guidance for the upcoming financial year 2026 is $2.95 billion at the midpoint, below analyst estimates of $3.05 billion
  • Operating Margin: 8.3%, down from 10.2% in the same quarter last year
  • Free Cash Flow Margin: 1%, down from 7.4% in the same quarter last year
  • Passenger Cruise Days: 6.37 million, up 492,289 year on year
  • Market Capitalization: $11.29 billion

“The team delivered solid fourth quarter and full year 2025 results reflecting the strength of our award-winning brands, loyal guests and dedication of our team and crew members,” said John W. Chidsey, president and chief executive officer of Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.

Company Overview

With amenities like a full go-kart race track built into its ships, Norwegian Cruise Line (NYSE:NCLH) is a premier global cruise company.

Revenue Growth

A company’s long-term performance is an indicator of its overall quality. Any business can put up a good quarter or two, but many enduring ones grow for years. Over the last five years, Norwegian Cruise Line grew its sales at a solid 50.3% compounded annual growth rate. Its growth beat the average consumer discretionary company and shows its offerings resonate with customers.

Norwegian Cruise Line Quarterly Revenue

We at StockStory place the most emphasis on long-term growth, but within consumer discretionary, a stretched historical view may miss a company riding a successful new property or trend. Norwegian Cruise Line’s recent performance shows its demand has slowed as its annualized revenue growth of 7.2% over the last two years was below its five-year trend. We’re wary when companies in the sector see decelerations in revenue growth, as it could signal changing consumer tastes aided by low switching costs.

Norwegian Cruise Line Year-On-Year Revenue Growth

We can better understand the company’s revenue dynamics by analyzing its number of passenger cruise days, which reached 6.37 million in the latest quarter. Over the last two years, Norwegian Cruise Line’s passenger cruise days averaged 2.3% year-on-year growth. Because this number is lower than its revenue growth during the same period, we can see the company’s monetization has risen.

Norwegian Cruise Line Passenger Cruise Days

This quarter, Norwegian Cruise Line’s revenue grew by 6.4% year on year to $2.24 billion, missing Wall Street’s estimates.

Looking ahead, sell-side analysts expect revenue to grow 10.6% over the next 12 months. Although this projection suggests its newer products and services will fuel better top-line performance, it is still below average for the sector.

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Operating Margin

Norwegian Cruise Line’s operating margin might fluctuated slightly over the last 12 months but has remained more or less the same, averaging 15.7% over the last two years. This profitability was inadequate for a consumer discretionary business and caused by its suboptimal cost structure.

Norwegian Cruise Line Trailing 12-Month Operating Margin (GAAP)

This quarter, Norwegian Cruise Line generated an operating margin profit margin of 8.3%, down 1.9 percentage points year on year. This reduction is quite minuscule and indicates the company’s overall cost structure has been relatively stable.

Earnings Per Share

We track the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) for the same reason as long-term revenue growth. Compared to revenue, however, EPS highlights whether a company’s growth is profitable.

Norwegian Cruise Line’s full-year EPS flipped from negative to positive over the last five years. This is encouraging and shows it’s at a critical moment in its life.

Norwegian Cruise Line Trailing 12-Month EPS (Non-GAAP)

In Q4, Norwegian Cruise Line reported adjusted EPS of $0.28, up from $0.26 in the same quarter last year. This print beat analysts’ estimates by 5.5%. Over the next 12 months, Wall Street expects Norwegian Cruise Line’s full-year EPS of $2.06 to grow 24.1%.

Key Takeaways from Norwegian Cruise Line’s Q4 Results

It was good to see Norwegian Cruise Line provide EBITDA guidance for next quarter that slightly beat analysts’ expectations. We were also glad its EPS outperformed Wall Street’s estimates. On the other hand, its revenue missed and its full-year EBITDA guidance fell short of Wall Street’s estimates. Overall, this quarter could have been better. The stock traded down 7% to $23.07 immediately after reporting.

Norwegian Cruise Line underperformed this quarter, but does that create an opportunity to invest right now? We think that the latest quarter is only one piece of the longer-term business quality puzzle. Quality, when combined with valuation, can help determine if the stock is a buy. We cover that in our actionable full research report which you can read here (it’s free).

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