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U.S. stock futures fell on Thursday following Wednesday’s positive close. Futures of the major benchmark indices were lower.
Ongoing conflict in the Middle East remains the primary driver of significant market volatility, as hostilities involving the U.S., Israel, and Iran have escalated throughout the region. This marks the sixth consecutive day of unrest with no clear end in sight.
However, the New York Times reports that the Iranian leadership has initiated contact with Trump to explore potential ceasefire negotiations.
Meanwhile, the 10-year Treasury bond yielded 3.11%, and the two-year bond was at 3.56%. The CME Group's FedWatch tool‘s projections show markets pricing a 97.3% likelihood of the Federal Reserve leaving the current interest rates unchanged in March.
| Index | Performance (+/-) |
| Dow Jones | -0.23% |
| S&P 500 | -0.13% |
| Nasdaq 100 | -0.13% |
| Russell 2000 | -0.38% |
The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) and Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ), which track the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100, respectively, were lower in premarket on Thursday. The SPY was down 0.099% at $684.45, while the QQQ declined 0.11% to $610.10.





Consumer discretionary, information technology, and communication services stocks recording the biggest gains led most S&P 500 sectors to a positive close on Wednesday, though energy and consumer staples bucked the trend.
| Index | Performance (+/-) | Value |
| Dow Jones | 0.49% | 48,739.41 |
| S&P 500 | 0.78% | 6,869.50 |
| Nasdaq Composite | 1.29% | 22,807.48 |
| Russell 2000 | 1.06% | 2,636.01 |
According to BlackRock's March 2026 commentary, the firm maintains a cautiously optimistic yet tactical outlook on the U.S. economy and stock market, driven largely by “mega forces” like artificial intelligence.
Strategists expect the U.S. labor market to remain resilient, which will likely reaffirm “the Fed’s new hawkish tone” and keep interest rates on hold in the near term. While the S&P 500 recently faced its “worst month in nearly a year” due to inflation concerns and AI-related volatility, BlackRock remains overweight on U.S. equities.
They argue that “strong corporate earnings, driven in part by the AI theme,” are supported by a favorable macro backdrop and reduced policy uncertainty. However, they warn that traditional, “static strategic asset allocation no longer suffices.”
Instead, they suggest a scenario-based approach to navigate potential outcomes ranging from an “AI productivity boom” to a “higher risk premium for U.S. assets” caused by geopolitical fragmentation.
Ultimately, BlackRock favors being granular, noting that “the AI buildout keeps rolling on,” while staying alert to “sticky inflation” that may limit future rate cuts.
Here's what investors will be keeping an eye on Thursday.
Crude oil futures were trading higher in the early New York session by 2.41% to hover around $76.46 per barrel.
Gold Spot US Dollar rose 0.62% to hover around $5,173.35 per ounce. Its last record high stood at $5,595.46 per ounce. The U.S. Dollar Index spot was 0.12% higher at the 98.8850 level.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) was trading 0.91% higher at $72,514.17 per coin, as per the last 24 hours.
Asian markets closed higher on Thursday, as China’s CSI 300, Australia's ASX 200, Japan's Nikkei 225, Hong Kong's Hang Seng, South Korea's Kospi, and India’s Nifty 50 indices rose. European markets were also higher in early trade.
Photo courtesy: Shutterstock
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