Mattel (MAT) Up 12.6% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Continue?

By Zacks Equity Research | June 04, 2025, 11:30 AM

It has been about a month since the last earnings report for Mattel (MAT). Shares have added about 12.6% in that time frame, outperforming the S&P 500.

Will the recent positive trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is Mattel due for a pullback? Before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late, let's take a quick look at the most recent earnings report in order to get a better handle on the important drivers.

How Have Estimates Been Moving Since Then?

It turns out, estimates review have trended downward during the past month.

The consensus estimate has shifted -9.87% due to these changes.

VGM Scores

At this time, Mattel has a nice Growth Score of B, a grade with the same score on the momentum front. Charting a somewhat similar path, the stock was allocated a grade of A on the value side, putting it in the top 20% for this investment strategy.

Overall, the stock has an aggregate VGM Score of A. If you aren't focused on one strategy, this score is the one you should be interested in.

Outlook

Estimates have been broadly trending downward for the stock, and the magnitude of these revisions indicates a downward shift. Notably, Mattel has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). We expect an in-line return from the stock in the next few months.

Performance of an Industry Player

Mattel is part of the Zacks Toys - Games - Hobbies industry. Over the past month, Jakks Pacific (JAKK), a stock from the same industry, has gained 14.2%. The company reported its results for the quarter ended March 2025 more than a month ago.

Jakks reported revenues of $113.25 million in the last reported quarter, representing a year-over-year change of +25.7%. EPS of -$0.03 for the same period compares with -$1.09 a year ago.

For the current quarter, Jakks is expected to post earnings of $0.48 per share, indicating a change of -26.2% from the year-ago quarter. The Zacks Consensus Estimate has changed +1.7% over the last 30 days.

Jakks has a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) based on the overall direction and magnitude of estimate revisions. Additionally, the stock has a VGM Score of A.

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This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).

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