What Happened?
Shares of burger restaurant chain Red Robin (NASDAQ:RRGB)
jumped 9.5% in the afternoon session after the casual dining chain announced its "First Choice" strategic plan and an improved profitability forecast for the second quarter. The company unveiled its new "First Choice" plan, a five-point strategy focused on strengthening operations, driving customer traffic, managing costs to reduce debt, improving restaurant facilities, and fostering a high-performance culture. While Red Robin now expects a comparable restaurant sales decrease of about 4% for the second quarter, slightly worse than its previous forecast, it anticipates that its Adjusted EBITDA will come in higher than the prior guidance of $13 million to $16 million. EBITDA, which stands for Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization, is a key measure of a company's operating performance.
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What Is The Market Telling Us
Red Robin’s shares are extremely volatile and have had 68 moves greater than 5% over the last year. In that context, today’s move indicates the market considers this news meaningful but not something that would fundamentally change its perception of the business.
The previous big move we wrote about was about 24 hours ago when the stock dropped 4.7% as the company continued to navigate a challenging environment marked by store closures and significant financial losses. The company has been grappling with the effects of rising dining costs, which has led to a pullback in consumer spending at fast-casual restaurants. In response to these pressures, Red Robin has been strategically closing underperforming locations.
Red Robin is up 7.8% since the beginning of the year, but at $6.11 per share, it is still trading 11.3% below its 52-week high of $6.89 from July 2025. Investors who bought $1,000 worth of Red Robin’s shares 5 years ago would now be looking at an investment worth $711.29.
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