Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. (FND): A Bull Case Theory

We came across a bullish thesis on Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. on Stock Analysis Compilation’s Substack. In this article, we will summarize the bulls’ thesis on FND. Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc.'s share was trading at $80.73 as of July 22^nd. FND’s trailing and forward P/E were 42.71 and 43.48 respectively according to Yahoo Finance.

Floor & Decor (FND) has emerged as the clear leader in the US hard surface flooring market, a $40 billion industry characterized by a handful of large retailers and thousands of smaller independents. While the overall market has been stagnant for the past three years, long-term structural growth remains intact as hard surface flooring continues to gain share over carpet, rising from 45% to about 60% of the total flooring market in the last decade.

FND has consistently gained market share while Home Depot has remained flat, Lowe’s has lost ground, and independents have borne the brunt of the shift. With direct sourcing relationships across 240+ suppliers, FND leverages its scale to secure lower costs, passing savings to customers through its everyday low-price model, a broad 4,400-SKU selection per store, and design and installation services that historically differentiated independents.

Independents, saddled with higher distributor-driven costs and narrower assortments, continue to cede share, a trend likely to accelerate in the current downturn. FND’s highly specialized, scale-driven “flywheel” business model reinforces its advantages over time, deepening its purchasing power as it grows. This enables a superior value proposition: lower prices, vast product range, and strong in-store service that build customer loyalty and further market share gains.

The company’s disciplined store rollout—currently 254 locations with a long-term target of 500+—and increasing store maturity provide significant runway for growth. With independents under pressure and structural tailwinds favoring hard surfaces, FND is positioned to overtake Home Depot in market share by 2030, cementing its dominance.

Previously we covered a bullish thesis on Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. (FND) by Summit Stock in June 2025, highlighting its scale-driven efficiencies, durable unit economics, and disciplined warehouse-store expansion. The stock has appreciated about 11% as market share gains persisted despite housing headwinds. The thesis still stands on structural growth drivers. Stock Analysis Compilation shares an identical view but emphasizes accelerating market share gains and industry leadership.

Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. is not on our list of the 30 Most Popular Stocks Among Hedge Funds. As per our database, 44 hedge fund portfolios held FND at the end of the first quarter which was 34 in the previous quarter. While we acknowledge the potential of FND as an investment, we believe certain AI stocks offer greater upside potential and carry less downside risk. If you're looking for an extremely undervalued AI stock that also stands to benefit significantly from Trump-era tariffs and the onshoring trend, see our free report on the best short-term AI stock.

READ NEXT: 8 Best Wide Moat Stocks to Buy Now and 30 Most Important AI Stocks According to BlackRock.

Disclosure: None.