Fiserv, Inc. (FI): A Bull Case Theory

We came across a bullish thesis on Fiserv, Inc. on Stock Analysis Compilation’s Substack. In this article, we will summarize the bulls’ thesis on FI. Fiserv, Inc.'s share was trading at $140.08 as of July 24^th. FI’s trailing and forward P/E were 23.91 and 13.97, respectively according to Yahoo Finance.

Fiserv, Inc. (FI), a leading player in the financial technology sector, derives about 20% of its revenue from its Fintech segment, which provides mission-critical core processing systems for banks. These systems, enabling secure management of deposits and loans, boast an annual retention rate of 99% due to the high operational risks and learning curves associated with switching providers, making the customer base exceptionally sticky.

The segment also includes Digital Financial Solutions, offering outsourced mobile banking apps, and Enterprise Payment Solutions, which underpin ACH and real-time payments infrastructure, essential for modern banking operations. Fiserv’s Payments segment, contributing roughly 40% of revenue, covers debit and credit card processing, bill payments, and other digital transactions, while the Acceptance segment, accounting for the remaining 40%, is anchored by Clover, a widely used point-of-sale solution.

Though less entrenched than Fintech, the Acceptance segment benefits from the high cost and disruption of system switching, ensuring stable relationships. The company’s 2019 acquisition of First Data, initially dilutive, has significantly bolstered revenue and free cash flow, funding aggressive share buybacks and strengthening shareholder returns. Fiserv has consistently outperformed the S&P 500 over time, demonstrating resilience through market disruptions, including COVID-19.

Its diversified portfolio, entrenched customer base, and robust payments infrastructure form the backbone of its growth strategy. With operational resilience, strategic acquisitions, and a proven ability to enhance shareholder value, Fiserv is positioned for sustained growth in the rapidly evolving financial technology landscape, offering investors an attractive opportunity with durable competitive advantages and strong long-term return potential.

Previously, we covered a bullish thesis on Fiserv, Inc. (FI) by Stock Analysis Compilation in October 2024, which highlighted its mission-critical Fintech systems, diversified Payments and Acceptance segments, and growth driven by the First Data acquisition. The stock has depreciated about 30.66% since then, as the thesis did not play out. The thesis still stands as Fiserv’s entrenched position and sticky customer base sustain long-term growth. David shares a similar view but stresses the rising importance of its digital financial solutions.

Fiserv, Inc. is not on our list of the 30 Most Popular Stocks Among Hedge Funds. As per our database, 72 hedge fund portfolios held FI at the end of the first quarter which was 80 in the previous quarter. While we acknowledge the potential of FI as an investment, we believe certain AI stocks offer greater upside potential and carry less downside risk. If you're looking for an extremely undervalued AI stock that also stands to benefit significantly from Trump-era tariffs and the onshoring trend, see our free report on the best short-term AI stock.

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Disclosure: None.