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A. O. Smith's Q2 Earnings Call: Our Top 5 Analyst Questions

By Kayode Omotosho | July 31, 2025, 1:32 AM

AOS Cover Image

A. O. Smith’s second quarter results were marked by resilience despite a modest year-over-year revenue decline, as management pointed to disciplined channel strategies and ongoing operational improvements. CEO Stephen Shafer credited the quarter’s performance to proactive efforts in smoothing production schedules in North America and emphasizing higher-margin water treatment channels. He also highlighted that boiler sales rebounded, while water heater volumes softened due to industry prebuy dynamics ahead of price increases and tariffs. The market responded positively to these operational moves and stability in margins, with Shafer noting, “We believe A. O. Smith has an outstanding foundation for profitable growth as a global water technology leader.”

Is now the time to buy AOS? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).

A. O. Smith (AOS) Q2 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $1.01 billion vs analyst estimates of $999.3 million (1.3% year-on-year decline, 1.2% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS: $1.07 vs analyst estimates of $0.99 (7.8% beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $226.3 million vs analyst estimates of $223.4 million (22.4% margin, 1.3% beat)
  • The company lifted its revenue guidance for the full year to $3.89 billion at the midpoint from $3.85 billion, a 1% increase
  • Management raised its full-year Adjusted EPS guidance to $3.80 at the midpoint, a 1.3% increase
  • Operating Margin: 20.4%, in line with the same quarter last year
  • Organic Revenue fell 2.9% year on year (6.9% in the same quarter last year)
  • Market Capitalization: $9.93 billion

While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.

Our Top 5 Analyst Questions A. O. Smith’s Q2 Earnings Call

  • Michael Patrick Halloran (Baird) pressed on the timing and scope of the China business assessment; CEO Stephen Shafer explained this was to “broaden the horizon of options” for long-term competitiveness rather than signal an immediate divestiture.
  • Saree Emily Boroditsky (Jefferies) sought clarity on market share trends in water heater shipments; CFO Charles Lauber said share should improve in the second half as order management actions normalize.
  • Damian Mark Karas (UBS) asked why A. O. Smith’s China business faced more headwinds than peers; Shafer cited a challenging macro environment, increased local competition, and shifts in buyer channels, especially toward online.
  • Matt J. Summerville (D.A. Davidson) inquired about the M&A pipeline and openness to transformational deals; Shafer said the pipeline is active but the company will remain disciplined, not ruling out larger acquisitions if they align with core competencies.
  • Bryan Francis Blair (Oppenheimer) questioned margin progress in North America water treatment; Shafer confirmed the targeted margin expansion is on track, with channel prioritization and integration of acquisitions driving improvements.

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

In the coming quarters, the StockStory team will monitor (1) the outcome of the China business assessment and any resulting structural changes or partnerships, (2) how effectively A. O. Smith manages rising steel and tariff costs while maintaining margins, and (3) execution of product launches in key categories like tankless water heaters and advanced filtration. Progress in integrating acquisitions and expanding high-efficiency boiler sales will also be important signposts.

A. O. Smith currently trades at $71, in line with $71.32 just before the earnings. Is there an opportunity in the stock?Find out in our full research report (it’s free).

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