Nova’s second quarter was marked by robust revenue growth and a positive market reaction, with sales surpassing Wall Street expectations. Management attributed the strong results to record performance in its chemical metrology division and service business, as well as sustained momentum in logic, foundry, and advanced packaging segments. CEO Gabriel Waisman highlighted that the company’s ability to serve multiple revenue streams—driven by technological transitions in semiconductor manufacturing—was key to outperformance. He also emphasized Nova’s diversified business model and ongoing investment in expanding customer partnerships and product capabilities, which underpinned the broad-based growth across markets and regions.
Is now the time to buy NVMI? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).
Nova (NVMI) Q2 CY2025 Highlights:
- Revenue: $220 million vs analyst estimates of $214.9 million (40.2% year-on-year growth, 2.4% beat)
- Adjusted EPS: $2.20 vs analyst estimates of $2.06 (6.5% beat)
- Adjusted EBITDA: $78.28 million vs analyst estimates of $72.27 million (35.6% margin, 8.3% beat)
- Revenue Guidance for Q3 CY2025 is $221 million at the midpoint, above analyst estimates of $215.8 million
- Adjusted EPS guidance for Q3 CY2025 is $2.12 at the midpoint, above analyst estimates of $2.08
- Operating Margin: 29.8%, in line with the same quarter last year
- Inventory Days Outstanding: 179, up from 177 in the previous quarter
- Market Capitalization: $8.07 billion
While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions.
Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated.
Here is what has caught our attention.
Our Top 5 Analyst Questions From Nova’s Q2 Earnings Call
- Atif Malik (Citi) asked about the trajectory of gate-all-around sales and regional dynamics. CEO Gabriel Waisman said Nova is on track with its $500 million cumulative goal and sees stable demand across regions in the second half.
- Michael Sebastian Mani (BofA Securities) questioned the organic growth versus Sentronics’ contribution. Waisman highlighted strong Sentronics integration, with most sales now direct and customer adoption accelerating across regions.
- Michael Sebastian Mani (BofA Securities) also asked about potential CapEx reductions from a major gate-all-around customer. Waisman replied that Nova’s broad customer exposure gives confidence in hitting growth targets, and next year should be even stronger.
- Ezra Gabriel Weener (Jefferies) inquired about geographic mix, particularly China, and HBM strength. Waisman explained that China revenue should be modestly higher, with advanced packaging and HBM as growing contributors.
- Matthew Patrick Prisco (Cantor) asked about share dynamics in dimensional metrology. Waisman described sustained leadership in integrated metrology and market share gains in stand-alone OCD, with continued expansion expected.
Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters
In upcoming quarters, our analysts will focus on (1) the pace of adoption for Nova’s advanced packaging and gate-all-around solutions, (2) the successful rollout and market penetration of new metrology tools such as VeraFlex and Sentronics platforms, and (3) the trajectory of service business growth as value-added offerings scale. Execution in these areas will be crucial for sustaining Nova’s momentum amid evolving semiconductor industry trends.
Nova currently trades at $272.50, up from $257.95 just before the earnings. Is the company at an inflection point that warrants a buy or sell? See for yourself in our full research report (it’s free).
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