Clear Secure, Inc. (YOU): A Bull Case Theory

We came across a bullish thesis on Clear Secure, Inc. on Make Money, Make Time’s Substack by Oliver | MMMT Wealth. In this article, we will summarize the bulls’ thesis on YOU. Clear Secure, Inc.'s share was trading at $34.12 as of August 13^th. YOU’s trailing P/E was 20.42 according to Yahoo Finance.

YOU operates a leading identity verification platform, most widely recognized for its CLEAR lanes at airports, where members use biometric data, including fingerprints and iris scans, to bypass security lines. The platform has expanded beyond airports into stadiums, venues, and other businesses, scaling to over 30 million members. Its growth is supported by substantial barriers to entry, including limited physical space, brand trust, and its strategic TSA PreCheck partnership. The company is also extending into high-margin digital identity and verification solutions, gaining adoption from government agencies, healthcare facilities, and major brands like LinkedIn and Uber, significantly broadening its total addressable market beyond travel.

Financially, YOU has delivered a strong performance, with revenue up 17.5% year-over-year, total bookings up 13.1%, and an operating margin of 19.4%. The company is debt-free, holds over $500 million in cash, and maintains free cash flow margins above 40%. Forecasts project approximately $427 million in free cash flow by 2027, representing a compound annual growth rate of roughly 15%. Applying a 15x free cash flow multiple suggests a potential valuation of $6.4 billion, implying around 42% upside from current levels.

YOU’s combination of a dominant market position, expansion into high-margin digital verification services, strong balance sheet, and robust free cash flow generation presents a compelling investment case. The company benefits from multiple growth avenues and operational resilience, offering both revenue growth and free cash flow potential, making it an attractive opportunity with significant upside while maintaining limited downside risk. Investors may find value in both the ongoing expansion of its membership platform and the monetization of its digital identity solutions, positioning YOU for a meaningful rerating in the coming years.

Previously, we covered a bullish thesis on Bill.com Holdings, Inc. (BILL) by Compounding Your Wealth in May 2025, which highlighted strong subscription and transaction revenue growth, improving free cash flow margin, and strategic AI-powered finance initiatives. The company's stock price has depreciated by approximately 6.88% since our coverage. The thesis still stands as BILL continues to expand its AP/AR platform and invest in automation. Oliver from MMMT Wealth shares a similar bullish view but emphasizes YOU’s leadership in identity verification and high-margin digital identity solutions.

Clear Secure, Inc. is not on our list of the 30 Most Popular Stocks Among Hedge Funds. As per our database, 28 hedge fund portfolios held YOU at the end of the first quarter which was 27 in the previous quarter. While we acknowledge the potential of YOU as an investment, we believe certain AI stocks offer greater upside potential and carry less downside risk. If you're looking for an extremely undervalued AI stock that also stands to benefit significantly from Trump-era tariffs and the onshoring trend, see our free report on the best short-term AI stock.

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Disclosure: None.