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Why Investors Need to Take Advantage of These 2 Finance Stocks Now

By Zacks Equity Research | October 09, 2025, 8:50 AM

Earnings are arguably the most important single number on a company's quarterly financial report. Wall Street clearly dives into all of the other metrics and management's input, but the EPS figure helps cut through all the noise.

Life and the stock market are both about expectations, and rising above what is expected is often rewarded, while falling short can come with negative consequences. Investors might want to try to capture stronger returns by finding positive earnings surprises.

Now that we know how important earnings and earnings surprises are, it's time to show investors how to take advantage of these events to boost their returns by utilizing the Zacks Earnings ESP filter.

The Zacks Earnings ESP, Explained

The Zacks Expected Surprise Prediction, or ESP, works by locking in on the most up-to-date analyst earnings revisions because they can be more accurate than estimates from weeks or even months before the actual release date. The thinking is pretty straightforward: analysts who provide earnings estimates closer to the report are likely to have more information.

Now that we understand the basic idea, let's look at how the Expected Surprise Prediction works. The ESP is calculated by comparing the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with the percentage difference between the two giving us the Zacks ESP figure.

In fact, when we combined a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) or better and a positive Earnings ESP, stocks produced a positive surprise 70% of the time. Perhaps most importantly, using these parameters has helped produce 28.3% annual returns on average, according to our 10 year backtest.

Stocks with a #3 (Hold) ranking, which is most stocks covered at 60%, are expected to perform in-line with the broader market. But stocks that fall into the #2 (Buy) and #1 (Strong Buy) ranking, or the top 15% and top 5% of stocks, respectively, should outperform the market. Strong Buy stocks should outperform more than any other rank.

Should You Consider Victory Capital Holdings?

The last thing we will do today, now that we have a grasp on the ESP and how powerful of a tool it can be, is to quickly look at a qualifying stock. Victory Capital Holdings (VCTR) holds a #1 (Strong Buy) at the moment and its Most Accurate Estimate comes in at $1.63 a share 28 days away from its upcoming earnings release on November 6, 2025.

Victory Capital Holdings' Earnings ESP sits at +1.49%, which, as explained above, is calculated by taking the percentage difference between the $1.63 Most Accurate Estimate and the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.61. VCTR is also part of a large group of stocks that boast a positive ESP. Make sure to utilize our Earnings ESP Filter to uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they've reported.

VCTR is just one of a large group of Finance stocks with a positive ESP figure. FS KKR Capital (FSK) is another qualifying stock you may want to consider.

FS KKR Capital is a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) stock, and is getting ready to report earnings on November 5, 2025. FSK's Most Accurate Estimate sits at $0.58 a share 27 days from its next earnings release.

FS KKR Capital's Earnings ESP figure currently stands at +1.40% after taking the percentage difference between its Most Accurate Estimate and its Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.57.

Because both stocks hold a positive Earnings ESP, VCTR and FSK could potentially post earnings beats in their next reports.

Find Stocks to Buy or Sell Before They're Reported

Use the Zacks Earnings ESP Filter to turn up stocks with the highest probability of positively, or negatively, surprising to buy or sell before they're reported for profitable earnings season trading. Check it out here >>

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Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. (VCTR): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
FS KKR Capital Corp. (FSK): Free Stock Analysis Report

This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).

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