Compared to Estimates, Molina (MOH) Q3 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics

By Zacks Equity Research | October 22, 2025, 6:00 PM

Molina (MOH) reported $11.48 billion in revenue for the quarter ended September 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 11%. EPS of $1.84 for the same period compares to $6.01 a year ago.

The reported revenue compares to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $10.9 billion, representing a surprise of +5.28%. The company delivered an EPS surprise of -53.65%, with the consensus EPS estimate being $3.97.

While investors scrutinize revenue and earnings changes year-over-year and how they compare with Wall Street expectations to determine their next move, some key metrics always offer a more accurate picture of a company's financial health.

As these metrics influence top- and bottom-line performance, comparing them to the year-ago numbers and what analysts estimated helps investors project a stock's price performance more accurately.

Here is how Molina performed in the just reported quarter in terms of the metrics most widely monitored and projected by Wall Street analysts:
  • MCR - Total: 92.6% compared to the 90.3% average estimate based on four analysts.
  • MCR - Medicare: 93.6% versus 87% estimated by three analysts on average.
  • MCR - Marketplace: 95.6% versus 84.7% estimated by three analysts on average.
  • Ending Membership by Program - Total: 5.63 million versus the three-analyst average estimate of 5.74 million.
  • Ending Membership by Program - Medicaid: 4.64 million compared to the 4.8 million average estimate based on three analysts.
  • Revenue- Premium revenue: $10.84 billion versus $10.31 billion estimated by four analysts on average. Compared to the year-ago quarter, this number represents a +11.8% change.
  • Revenue- Premium tax revenue: $506 million compared to the $474.87 million average estimate based on four analysts. The reported number represents a change of -0.4% year over year.
  • Revenue- Premium revenue- Medicare: $1.61 billion versus $1.48 billion estimated by three analysts on average. Compared to the year-ago quarter, this number represents a +17.8% change.
  • Revenue- Premium revenue- Medicaid: $8.02 billion versus the three-analyst average estimate of $7.66 billion. The reported number represents a year-over-year change of +4.5%.
  • Revenue- Premium revenue- Marketplace: $1.2 billion versus $1.1 billion estimated by three analysts on average. Compared to the year-ago quarter, this number represents a +81.6% change.
  • Revenue- Investment income: $108 million versus the two-analyst average estimate of $99.93 million. The reported number represents a year-over-year change of -8.5%.
  • Revenue- Other revenue: $22 million versus the two-analyst average estimate of $21.47 million. The reported number represents a year-over-year change of +10%.

View all Key Company Metrics for Molina here>>>

Shares of Molina have returned +7.8% over the past month versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +1.1% change. The stock currently has a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell), indicating that it could underperform the broader market in the near term.

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This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).

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