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Payoneer Global Inc. (PAYO): A Bull Case Theory

By Ricardo Pillai | December 04, 2025, 12:04 PM

We came across a bullish thesis on Payoneer Global Inc. on Valueinvestorsclub.com by jet551. In this article, we will summarize the bulls’ thesis on PAYO. Payoneer Global Inc.'s share was trading at $5.78 as of November 28th. PAYO’s trailing P/E was 32.11 according to Yahoo Finance.

Pixabay/ Public Domain

Payoneer (PAYO) is a leading cross-border payments platform serving SMBs globally, offering a comprehensive suite of B2B services that extend far beyond simple payouts. Its strength lies in acquiring fast-growing customers from emerging markets and deepening relationships across multiple products, driving higher margins and sustained revenue growth. Despite strong fundamentals, the stock trades at a significant discount to historical averages and peers, reflecting market misunderstandings of its business model, interest rate sensitivity, and China exposure.

PAYO operates in a vast, underpenetrated market, with over 2 million active accounts across 190 countries, 54,000 customers processing more than $10,000 per month, and integrations with 2,000 partner platforms, including Amazon. Its multi-currency digital accounts create stickiness and a network effect, enabling expansion into debit cards, working capital lines, payroll, and accounts payable/receivable services, which drive volume, take-rate growth, and durable revenue. The company’s total customer float of $7 billion generates high-margin interest income, supporting investment in new SMB services while remaining resilient to rate fluctuations.

Recent stock declines over China tariffs and guidance suspension were temporary, and Payoneer has reinstated its outlook with growth validating its strategy. Trading at less than 6.5x projected 2026 EBITDA, the stock is undervalued relative to peers and history, despite superior margins and strong free cash flow.

Key catalysts include continued volume and take-rate growth in emerging markets, rising interest income, expansion of its Checkout product, potential buybacks, and possible acquisition interest. At current levels, PAYO offers a compelling investment in a high-growth, high-margin business with significant upside, with a target price of $10 per share.

Previously we covered a bullish thesis on Shift4 Payments, Inc. (FOUR) by Next 100 Baggers in May 2025, which highlighted the company’s strong operational execution, payment volume growth, global expansion, and M&A synergies. The stock has depreciated approximately by 11.38% since coverage due to market headwinds. The thesis still stands as FOUR scales its payments platform. jet551 shares a similar perspective but emphasizes Payoneer’s SMB network and high-margin growth.

Payoneer Global Inc. is not on our list of the 30 Most Popular Stocks Among Hedge Funds. As per our database, 37 hedge fund portfolios held PAYO at the end of the second quarter which was 38 in the previous quarter. While we acknowledge the potential of PAYO as an investment, we believe certain AI stocks offer greater upside potential and carry less downside risk. If you're looking for an extremely undervalued AI stock that also stands to benefit significantly from Trump-era tariffs and the onshoring trend, see our free report on the best short-term AI stock.

READ NEXT: 30 Stocks That Should Double in 3 Years and 11 Hidden AI Stocks to Buy NOW

Disclosure: None. 

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