Zacks Investment Ideas feature highlights: Intercontinental Exchange, Circle Group, Nasdaq 100 Index ETF and CoreWeave

For Immediate Release

Chicago, IL – December 10, 2025 – Today, Zacks Investment Ideas feature highlights Intercontinental Exchange ICE, Circle Group CRCL, Nasdaq 100 Index ETF QQQ and CoreWeave CRWV.

Understanding the Concept of Price Action vs. News Failure

Want to Win? Follow the Money, Not the News

If there’s one thing that the 2024 Presidential election taught us, it’s that markets and real money on the line supersede opinions, predictions, and gut feel. For instance, the majority of polls, and highly followed political polls such as ‘The Hill,’ ‘Silver Bulletin’ and ‘Real Clear Politics,’ each had Democratic Presidential Candidate Kamala Harris winning the 2024 Presidential election. Conversely, betting markets such as Kalshi and Polymarket consistently had Donald Trump with an edge in the weeks and months leading up to the election.

In hindsight, betting markets beat antiquated polling methods which are often filled with opinion, bias, and the predictions from a handful of pollsters. The accuracy of betting markets such as Polymarket and Kalshi marked a turning point in how people set odds for elections, sports, and other events. In fact, Polymarket secured a $2 billion investment from legacy financial giant Intercontinental Exchange as a result, along with investments from other prominent venture capital firms like Peter Thiel’s ‘Founder’s Fund.’

Price Action is King Markets. Markets Will Talk if You’re Willing to Listen

On Wall Street, as in betting markets, determining signal over noise means looking at price action. Price action leaves out opinions and illustrates real money being put to work. In other words, price action is all signal.

The Concept of Price Action Versus News (News Failure)

The moment when price action screams the loudest is when news hits a stock. What investors will find is that it’s not so much the news that’s important, but instead, the market’s reactions to the news.

Below are two recent examples:

1. On July 18^th, President Trump signed the GENIUS Act – a long-awaited legal framework for stablecoins. Circle Group, the largest US-based stablecoin provider, had been rallying in anticipation of the “bullish news.” However, the day the news finally hit, CRCL shares suffered a nasty bearish reversal and never looked back. In other words, despite the perceived good news, the price action hinted to investors to be cautious.

2. On April 7^th, President Trump threatened further tariffs against China as the trade war escalated. However, the Nasdaq 100 Index ETF finished green for the session – a clear news failure or tell.

CoreWeave: A Bullish News Failure

On Monday morning, AI company CoreWeave announced it would raise $2 billion through convertible senior notes. Typically, stocks fall on news like this as it means dilution for shareholders. However, on Monday the stock finished nearly flat after initially falling ~8% on the news. Tuesday, the stock traded up 5%, and above where the news was announced – signaling a bullish news failure.

Bottom Line

Follow the money, not the noise. Whether in politics or equities, markets offer real-time truth-based signals from where capital is actually flowing.

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Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Inherent in any investment is the potential for loss. This material is being provided for informational purposes only and nothing herein constitutes investment, legal, accounting or tax advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold a security. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. It should not be assumed that any investments in securities, companies, sectors or markets identified and described were or will be profitable. All information is current as of the date of herein and is subject to change without notice. Any views or opinions expressed may not reflect those of the firm as a whole. Zacks Investment Research does not engage in investment banking, market making or asset management activities of any securities. These returns are from hypothetical portfolios consisting of stocks with Zacks Rank = 1 that were rebalanced monthly with zero transaction costs. These are not the returns of actual portfolios of stocks. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index. Visit https://www.zacks.com/performance for information about the performance numbers displayed in this press release.

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