Jim Cramer on Oracle: "I'm Not Really Sure About Their Business Model"

By Syeda Seirut Javed | January 09, 2026, 3:16 AM

Oracle Corporation (NYSE:ORCL) is one of the stocks Jim Cramer shared his takes on. A caller asked what was wrong with the company, and Cramer explained:

“Okay, well, this is actually involved with the debt side of Oracle. They had to borrow a lot of money to be able to… build-out all these data centers they want to. Then people got increasingly worried that maybe one of its largest clients, OpenAI, won’t be able to pay for that. I now am taking that off the table. I don’t want to buy Oracle because I’m not really sure about their business model, but I am not, I would take off the table that they’re, that the stock, it’s… 26 times earnings. If it got down a little bit more, I would just tell you to buy it.”

A stock market chart. Photo by Arturo A on Pexels

Oracle Corporation (NYSE:ORCL) provides cloud and on-premise software, databases, and IT infrastructure to help businesses manage operations. Cramer discussed the company and its relationship with OpenAI during the December 19, 2025, episode, as he remarked:

“Let’s talk about what needs to happen. What could go right, a little more optimistic, to get the data center theme back on track? Right now, the biggest ambush in this market comes from Oracle, the debt-laden software company turned data center builder. They’ve got a huge client called OpenAI, the privately held company that’s been a pioneer in artificial intelligence and the bots that go with it… Oracle’s charged with building out $300 billion worth of orders for these guys… An old-fashioned tech company reinvents itself as a data center builder and crows about it. Not only does Oracle have the huge order from OpenAI, they got another $223 billion in orders from other companies.

Oracle has put the potential revenue into something called RPO, or remaining performance obligation. Most of the time, that’s almost as good as money in the bank. The OpenAI order, the revelation initially sent Oracle stock from $241 to $345 and change in a single September trading session, although it closed that day at $328…. Of course, Oracle had to raise the money first, so they hit up the bond market for $18 billion, and that’s when the problem started. Bonds can be insured with what’s known as credit default swaps, which you can actually use to bet against those bonds too, even if you don’t own them.

If you fear that Oracle might default, you buy the credit default swaps. The value of Oracle’s credit default swaps soar when the value of the bonds goes down or the perceived value. This spike was picked up by the media, and it derailed everything. Suddenly, Oracle’s grand plan seemed impossible to pull off, and we now believe that the whole data center complex may be stalled. Oracle stock went into free fall, going from $328 down to $178, where it landed two years ago, until it went up a little bit today.”

While we acknowledge the potential of ORCL as an investment, we believe certain AI stocks offer greater upside potential and carry less downside risk. If you're looking for an extremely undervalued AI stock that also stands to benefit significantly from Trump-era tariffs and the onshoring trend, see our free report on the best short-term AI stock.

READ NEXT: 30 Stocks That Should Double in 3 Years and 11 Hidden AI Stocks to Buy Right Now.

Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.

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