The Top 5 Analyst Questions From AAR's Q4 Earnings Call

By Petr Huřťák | January 13, 2026, 12:30 AM

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AAR’s fourth quarter was marked by strong performance across its aviation and defense services businesses, with results that exceeded Wall Street expectations and a significant positive market reaction. Management attributed the robust quarter primarily to high growth in its parts supply segment, particularly new parts distribution, as well as the benefits of recent strategic acquisitions. CEO John Holmes highlighted the company’s two-way exclusive distribution model and ongoing contract renewals as key enablers of above-market sales growth. Additionally, enhanced operational efficiency and improved margins were driven by both organic growth and successful integration of newly acquired businesses.

Is now the time to buy AIR? Find out in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).

AAR (AIR) Q4 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $795.3 million vs analyst estimates of $761.6 million (15.9% year-on-year growth, 4.4% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS: $1.18 vs analyst estimates of $1.03 (14.2% beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $96.5 million vs analyst estimates of $91.02 million (12.1% margin, 6% beat)
  • Revenue Guidance for Q1 CY2026 is $820.6 million at the midpoint, above analyst estimates of $790 million
  • Operating Margin: 8.4%, up from -0.3% in the same quarter last year
  • Market Capitalization: $3.83 billion

While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.

Our Top 5 Analyst Questions From AAR’s Q4 Earnings Call

  • Ken Herbert (RBC): Asked if the 32% growth in parts supply was more volume or price driven. CEO John Holmes clarified it was primarily volume, with healthy same-store sales and new contracts contributing.
  • Louis DePalma (William Blair): Queried about synergies between heavy maintenance and other businesses. Holmes explained the integration is intended to drive volume to component shops through bundled long-term contracts and proprietary process investments.
  • Michael Luchak (KeyBanc Capital Markets): Inquired about the M&A pipeline and future focus. Holmes said M&A remains a priority, with active pursuit of targets and confidence in the company’s ability to integrate acquisitions while managing bandwidth.
  • Scott Micas (Melius Research): Asked about the ART acquisition’s growth prospects. Holmes highlighted the engineering and certification expertise ART brings, positioning AAR to participate more meaningfully in the growing aircraft interior reconfiguration market.
  • Sheila (Jefferies): Sought clarification on margin improvement in repair and engineering. Holmes responded that the segment should return to and eventually exceed historical margin levels, with improvements driven by contract realignment and cost reductions.

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

In the coming quarters, the StockStory team will be watching (1) the pace and effectiveness of acquisition integration—especially margin improvement at HAECO Americas, (2) the ramp-up of new heavy maintenance capacity in Oklahoma City and Miami, and (3) continued progress in digital initiatives like Trax upgrades and Arrow Exchange partnership. Execution on these fronts will be critical to sustaining revenue growth and expanding margins.

AAR currently trades at $98.50, up from $90.04 just before the earnings. At this price, is it a buy or sell? See for yourself in our full research report (it’s free).

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