3 Reasons to Avoid HPE and 1 Stock to Buy Instead

By Anthony Lee | January 19, 2026, 11:00 PM

HPE Cover Image

Since July 2025, Hewlett Packard Enterprise has been in a holding pattern, posting a small return of 3.8% while floating around $21.45. The stock also fell short of the S&P 500’s 10% gain during that period.

Is there a buying opportunity in Hewlett Packard Enterprise, or does it present a risk to your portfolio? Dive into our full research report to see our analyst team’s opinion, it’s free.

Why Is Hewlett Packard Enterprise Not Exciting?

We're swiping left on Hewlett Packard Enterprise for now. Here are three reasons why HPE doesn't excite us and a stock we'd rather own.

1. Long-Term Revenue Growth Disappoints

Examining a company’s long-term performance can provide clues about its quality. Any business can have short-term success, but a top-tier one grows for years. Over the last five years, Hewlett Packard Enterprise grew its sales at a mediocre 4.9% compounded annual growth rate. This was below our standard for the business services sector.

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Quarterly Revenue

2. EPS Barely Growing

Analyzing the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) shows whether a company's incremental sales were profitable – for example, revenue could be inflated through excessive spending on advertising and promotions.

Hewlett Packard Enterprise’s EPS grew at an unimpressive 7.4% compounded annual growth rate over the last five years. On the bright side, this performance was better than its 4.9% annualized revenue growth and tells us the company became more profitable on a per-share basis as it expanded.

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Trailing 12-Month EPS (Non-GAAP)

3. Free Cash Flow Margin Dropping

Free cash flow isn't a prominently featured metric in company financials and earnings releases, but we think it's telling because it accounts for all operating and capital expenses, making it tough to manipulate. Cash is king.

As you can see below, Hewlett Packard Enterprise’s margin dropped by 10.5 percentage points over the last five years. If its declines continue, it could signal increasing investment needs and capital intensity. Hewlett Packard Enterprise’s free cash flow margin for the trailing 12 months was 2.9%.

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Trailing 12-Month Free Cash Flow Margin

Final Judgment

Hewlett Packard Enterprise isn’t a terrible business, but it doesn’t pass our quality test. With its shares lagging the market recently, the stock trades at 9.1× forward P/E (or $21.45 per share). While this valuation is fair, the upside isn’t great compared to the potential downside. We're fairly confident there are better investments elsewhere. We’d suggest looking at our favorite semiconductor picks and shovels play.

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