Since July 2025, Hewlett Packard Enterprise has been in a holding pattern, posting a small return of 3.8% while floating around $21.45. The stock also fell short of the S&P 500’s 10% gain during that period.
We're swiping left on Hewlett Packard Enterprise for now. Here are three reasons why HPE doesn't excite us and a stock we'd rather own.
1. Long-Term Revenue Growth Disappoints
Examining a company’s long-term performance can provide clues about its quality. Any business can have short-term success, but a top-tier one grows for years. Over the last five years, Hewlett Packard Enterprise grew its sales at a mediocre 4.9% compounded annual growth rate. This was below our standard for the business services sector.
2. EPS Barely Growing
Analyzing the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) shows whether a company's incremental sales were profitable – for example, revenue could be inflated through excessive spending on advertising and promotions.
Hewlett Packard Enterprise’s EPS grew at an unimpressive 7.4% compounded annual growth rate over the last five years. On the bright side, this performance was better than its 4.9% annualized revenue growth and tells us the company became more profitable on a per-share basis as it expanded.
3. Free Cash Flow Margin Dropping
Free cash flow isn't a prominently featured metric in company financials and earnings releases, but we think it's telling because it accounts for all operating and capital expenses, making it tough to manipulate. Cash is king.
As you can see below, Hewlett Packard Enterprise’s margin dropped by 10.5 percentage points over the last five years. If its declines continue, it could signal increasing investment needs and capital intensity. Hewlett Packard Enterprise’s free cash flow margin for the trailing 12 months was 2.9%.
Final Judgment
Hewlett Packard Enterprise isn’t a terrible business, but it doesn’t pass our quality test. With its shares lagging the market recently, the stock trades at 9.1× forward P/E (or $21.45 per share). While this valuation is fair, the upside isn’t great compared to the potential downside. We're fairly confident there are better investments elsewhere. We’d suggest looking at our favorite semiconductor picks and shovels play.
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