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Why Palantir's Rule Of 127 Is A Nightmare For Short Sellers

By Surbhi Jain | February 03, 2026, 11:57 AM

Palantir Technologies Inc (NASDAQ:PLTR) didn't just beat earnings on Monday — it rewrote the risk profile of the stock. Revenue jumped 70% YoY to $1.41 billion, but the real shock was CEO Alex Karp's Rule of 40 score of 127%, a figure so rare it made the "frothy" narrative look careless.

Bears expected gravity; Palantir delivered velocity.

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Rule Of 127 Flips The Fundamental Debate

What changed wasn't just one quarter — it was the frame. A 127% Rule of 40 signals profitability growing far faster than consensus models assumed possible at Palantir's scale. Add in 137% U.S. commercial revenue growth and rising government demand for mission-critical analytics, and the company stops looking like a valuation debate and starts looking like a platform winner.

With 2026 revenue guidance of $7.2 billion, the story is no longer potential; it's momentum.

Chart created using Benzinga Pro

From Bearish Pattern To Breakout Above $150

Technically, the setup looked hostile before earnings. Shares had slid to $146.59, under the 50-day moving average and flirting with a classic Head & Shoulders neckline.

Then the print hit — and the chart inverted. In pre-market, PLTR ripped 7–9% higher, decisively reclaiming $150 resistance and invalidating the breakdown.

The RSI (relative strength index) lifted from the low 30s, while the MACD (moving average convergence/divergence) indicator turned green, a clean shift from distribution to accumulation.

For short sellers, that reversal was painful in both speed and scale: positions built on a breakdown were trapped above resistance, forcing rapid cover into a rising tape. When earnings erase your technical thesis in a single session, losses compound fast — that's what makes Palantir a genuine nightmare to be short.

Double-Volume Re-Rating, Not Retail Noise

The move mattered because the tape confirmed it. Trading ran about double average volume, a hallmark of institutional re-pricing rather than meme momentum. As long as pullbacks hold above $155, the chart opens room toward the mid-$160s with less overhead friction.

Investor takeaway: this is a regime change, not a rally. Palantir now couples elite fundamentals (Rule of 127) with a repaired chart and heavy institutional flow — exactly the mix that turns short positions from bets into bruises.

Photo: Shutterstock

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