Micron Technology, Inc. (MU): A Bull Case Theory

We came across a bullish thesis on Micron Technology, Inc. on Beating The Tide’s Substack by George Atuan, CFA. In this article, we will summarize the bulls’ thesis on MU. Micron Technology, Inc.'s share was trading at $435.28 as of January 628h. MU’s trailing and forward P/E were 39.00 and 12.97 respectively according to Yahoo Finance.

Micron Technology, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells memory and storage products in the United States and internationally. MU sits at the center of the AI buildout because AI is fundamentally a memory-driven problem, not just a compute one. As data-center GPUs, edge devices, and on-device AI models proliferate, demand for DRAM, HBM, LPDDR, GDDR, and NAND is accelerating across every layer of the stack.

Memory and advanced packaging now account for roughly two-thirds of the bill of materials in top-tier AI GPUs, giving Micron meaningful pricing power and strategic relevance. This is reflected in Micron’s recent performance, with fiscal Q1 2026 revenue surging to $13.6 billion, up 57% year-over-year, and gross margins expanding to about 57%, driven by record DRAM, NAND, and HBM results.

The most powerful catalyst is HBM, where Micron has already locked in price and volume agreements for its entire 2026 supply under multi-year contracts, with management expecting tight market conditions to persist beyond that. As AI inference workloads expand across cloud, enterprise, and edge devices, memory capacity and bandwidth increasingly become the limiting factor, reinforcing Micron’s role as a critical supplier to hyperscalers and GPU leaders like NVIDIA. Despite this positioning, the market continues to value Micron as a cyclical commodity business, leaving it trading at a deep discount to semiconductor peers on forward multiples.

While risks remain, including memory cyclicality, competition from Samsung, SK hynix, and Chinese players, and customer concentration, Micron’s node leadership, broad product portfolio, U.S.-based manufacturing footprint supported by CHIPS Act funding, and improving mix toward high-margin data-center memory materially strengthen its outlook. A discounted cash flow analysis suggests substantial upside, with AI-driven growth potentially pushing earnings and valuation far beyond current expectations, making Micron a compelling high-risk, high-reward play for 2026 and beyond.

Previously, we covered a bullish thesis on Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) by Oliver | MMMT Wealth in April 2025, which highlighted strong growth expectations, data center CapEx tailwinds, technology leadership, and an attractive valuation. MU’s stock price has appreciated by approximately 520% since our coverage due to accelerating AI-driven memory demand. George Atuan, CFA shares a similar view but emphasizes HBM supply constraints and AI inference as key drivers.

Micron Technology, Inc. is not on our list of the 30 Most Popular Stocks Among Hedge Funds. As per our database, 105 hedge fund portfolios held MU at the end of the third quarter which was 94 in the previous quarter. While we acknowledge the risk and potential of MU as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than MU and that has 10,000% upside potential, check out our report about this cheapest AI stock.

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Disclosure: None.