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Bitcoin Breakout Sends Coinbase Shares Soaring

By Henry Khederian | February 25, 2026, 12:15 PM

Coinbase Global Inc (NASDAQ:COIN) shares are surging Wednesday as a fresh leg higher in Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) reignited risk appetite across crypto. Here’s what investors need to know.

ETF Inflows Ignite Bitcoin Breakout

The move came after Bitcoin climbed about 5% to trade above $68,000, lifted by renewed inflows into spot exchange-traded funds and improving on-chain indicators that suggest the cryptocurrency still has room to close its performance gap with equities this cycle.

Social-media data shows the most bullish tone in roughly a month following President Donald Trump's State of the Union address, adding a powerful sentiment tailwind.

Why A Bitcoin Rally Matters

For Coinbase, the largest U.S. crypto exchange, a rising Bitcoin price is more than a headline, it is a revenue engine. Higher prices typically draw retail traders back into the market, boosting transaction volumes and the fees that still account for the bulk of Coinbase's top line.

Institutional flows into Bitcoin ETFs and direct custody also lift assets on the platform, supporting staking, financing and prime-brokerage revenue.

Bitcoin Volatility Amplifies Coinbase Shares

Because Coinbase does not take directional trading risk in Bitcoin, its earnings are effectively a leveraged play on activity rather than price itself: each dollar of crypto appreciation tends to translate into multiple dollars of incremental trading and spread capture.

Historically, sharp rallies in Bitcoin have coincided with outsized swings in Coinbase's share price as investors price in stronger future cash flows.

Coinbase’s Technical Weakness

Over the past year, Coinbase shares surged to a high near $419.78 before reversing lower and recently testing a low around $141.09.

After spending much of the rally above their 20-, 50-, and 200-day moving averages, the stock has trended below its shorter-term averages in recent months, signaling weakening momentum despite a modest bounce from the lows.

Analysts Trim Targets, Maintain Ratings

Analyst Consensus & Recent Actions: The stock carries a Buy Rating with an average price target of $290.68. Recent analyst moves include:

  • Goldman Sachs: Buy (Lowers Target to $264.00) (Feb. 17)
  • Mizuho: Neutral (Lowers Target to $170.00) (Feb. 17)
  • Barclays: Equal-Weight (Lowers Target to $148.00) (Feb. 13)

COIN Stock Surges Wednesday

COIN Price Action: Coinbase Global shares were up 13.57% at $184.07 at the time of publication on Wednesday, according to Benzinga Pro data.

Image: created using AI via DALL-E.

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