Intel Corp (NASDAQ:INTC) stock is down 1% to trade at $65.59 at last glance, but boasts a 235.1% year-over-year lead and has already gained 77.3% so far in 2026. The shares are also fresh off an April 17, roughly 26-year high of $70.33, with its recent nine-day win streak helping it break above familiar pressure at $50, while the $64 level just emerged as a new floor.
The tech giant's first-quarter results are due out tomorrow after close. INTC has a dismal history of post-earnings reactions, finishing lower after six of its last eight reports, including a 17% tumble in January. This time around, the options market is pricing in a 13.5% move, regardless of direction, which is larger than the 9.8% swing its averaged in the last two years.
Analysts are skeptical of INTC, with 38 of the 44 in coverage sporting a "hold" or worse rating. Plus, the equity's 12-month consensus target price of $54.49 is a 17.2% discount to current levels.
Options traders also lean bearish. This is per the stock's 10-day put/call volume ratio at the International Securities Exchange (ISE), Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE), and NASDAQ OMX PHLX (PHLX) that sits higher than 92% of annual readings. Echoing this, INTC's Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio (SOIR) ranks in the 98th percentile of readings from the past year.