3 Reasons CXM is Risky and 1 Stock to Buy Instead

By Anthony Lee | May 23, 2025, 12:01 AM

CXM Cover Image

Sprinklr currently trades at $8.20 per share and has shown little upside over the past six months, posting a small loss of 1.3%.

Is now the time to buy Sprinklr, or should you be careful about including it in your portfolio? Check out our in-depth research report to see what our analysts have to say, it’s free.

Why Do We Think Sprinklr Will Underperform?

We're sitting this one out for now. Here are three reasons why there are better opportunities than CXM and a stock we'd rather own.

1. Weak Billings Point to Soft Demand

Billings is a non-GAAP metric that is often called “cash revenue” because it shows how much money the company has collected from customers in a certain period. This is different from revenue, which must be recognized in pieces over the length of a contract.

Sprinklr’s billings came in at $298.6 million in Q4, and over the last four quarters, its year-on-year growth averaged 5.5%. This performance was underwhelming and suggests that increasing competition is causing challenges in acquiring/retaining customers.

Sprinklr Billings

2. Projected Revenue Growth Is Slim

Forecasted revenues by Wall Street analysts signal a company’s potential. Predictions may not always be accurate, but accelerating growth typically boosts valuation multiples and stock prices while slowing growth does the opposite.

Over the next 12 months, sell-side analysts expect Sprinklr’s revenue to rise by 2.9%, a deceleration versus its 17.4% annualized growth for the past three years. This projection doesn't excite us and indicates its products and services will see some demand headwinds.

3. Shrinking Operating Margin

Many software businesses adjust their profits for stock-based compensation (SBC), but we prioritize GAAP operating margin because SBC is a real expense used to attract and retain engineering and sales talent. This is one of the best measures of profitability because it shows how much money a company takes home after developing, marketing, and selling its products.

Looking at the trend in its profitability, Sprinklr’s operating margin decreased by 1.6 percentage points over the last year. This raises questions about the company’s expense base because its revenue growth should have given it leverage on its fixed costs, resulting in better economies of scale and profitability. Its operating margin for the trailing 12 months was 3%.

Sprinklr Trailing 12-Month Operating Margin (GAAP)

Final Judgment

We see the value of companies addressing major business pain points, but in the case of Sprinklr, we’re out. That said, the stock currently trades at 2.7× forward price-to-sales (or $8.20 per share). This valuation is reasonable, but the company’s shaky fundamentals present too much downside risk. There are more exciting stocks to buy at the moment. Let us point you toward one of our all-time favorite software stocks.

Stocks We Like More Than Sprinklr

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