PDD Holdings Inc. (PDD): A Bull Case Theory

We came across a bullish thesis on PDD Holdings Inc. (PDD) on LongYield’s Substack. In this article, we will summarize the bulls’ thesis on PDD. PDD Holdings Inc. (PDD)'s share was trading at $97.88 as of 28^th May. PDD’s trailing and forward P/E were 10.53 and 7.76 respectively according to Yahoo Finance.

PDD Holdings Inc., the parent company of Pinduoduo and Temu, delivered strong top-line growth in Q1 2025, with revenue rising 10% year-over-year to RMB 95.7 billion (US$13.184 billion), driven by robust performance in online marketing and transaction services. While near-term profitability declined—operating profit fell 38% and net income dropped 47%—these figures reflect PDD’s deliberate and strategic reinvestment into its ecosystem. The company significantly ramped up spending in sales and marketing (+43%) and R&D (+23%) to strengthen its merchant base, upgrade supply chains, and support long-term competitiveness.

This aggressive reinvestment positions PDD for sustained value creation, especially as consumer behavior increasingly favors affordable, high-quality offerings—PDD’s core strength. With a powerful balance sheet, including RMB 364.5 billion (US$50.3 billion) in cash and short-term investments and no significant debt, the company is well-capitalized to weather macro uncertainties and accelerate its global expansion through Temu. The international platform continues to gain traction and, with careful navigation of geopolitical risks, could become a major growth engine. PDD’s unique value-for-money positioning, group-buying model, and focus on underserved SMEs differentiate it from peers like Alibaba and JD.com.

Strategic initiatives such as a RMB 100 billion merchant support program, supply chain investments, and consumer incentives reinforce its ecosystem advantage. Though short-term margins are compressed, the long-term outlook remains compelling. With unmatched financial flexibility, rising global brand awareness, and a focus on sustainable growth, PDD is well-positioned to emerge as a dominant global e-commerce player over the next decade.

Previously, we have covered PDD Holdings Inc. (PDD) in February 2025, wherein we summarized a bullish thesis by Favona Hathaway on Substack. The company was highlighted for its rapid growth, strong financials, and dominant position in value-for-money e-commerce through its C2M model and global expansion via Temu. The article noted PDD's impressive revenue and profit CAGR since 2021, minimal debt, and potential for a 144% market cap upside by 2029, despite geopolitical and macroeconomic risks. Since our last coverage, the stock is down 21% as of 28^th May.

PDD Holdings Inc. (PDD) is not on our list of the 30 Most Popular Stocks Among Hedge Funds. As per our database, 87 hedge fund portfolios held PDD at the end of the first quarter which was 85 in the previous quarter. While we acknowledge the risk and potential of PDD as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than PDD but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.

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Disclosure: None. This article was originally published at Insider Monkey.