Over the past six months, Franklin BSP Realty Trust’s shares (currently trading at $11.25) have posted a disappointing 11.8% loss while the S&P 500 was flat. This was partly driven by its softer quarterly results and may have investors wondering how to approach the situation.
Is there a buying opportunity in Franklin BSP Realty Trust, or does it present a risk to your portfolio? Dive into our full research report to see our analyst team’s opinion, it’s free.
Why Do We Think Franklin BSP Realty Trust Will Underperform?
Despite the more favorable entry price, we're sitting this one out for now. Here are three reasons why we avoid FBRT and a stock we'd rather own.
1. Revenue Tumbling Downwards
We at StockStory place the most emphasis on long-term growth, but within financials, a stretched historical view may miss recent interest rate changes, market returns, and industry trends. Franklin BSP Realty Trust’s recent performance marks a sharp pivot from its four-year trend as its revenue has shown annualized declines of 3.4% over the last two years.
2. EPS Trending Down
We track the change in earnings per share (EPS) because it highlights whether a company’s growth is profitable.
Franklin BSP Realty Trust’s full-year EPS dropped significantly over the last two years. We tend to steer our readers away from companies with falling revenue and EPS, where diminishing earnings could imply changing secular trends and preferences. If the tide turns unexpectedly, Franklin BSP Realty Trust’s low margin of safety could leave its stock price susceptible to large downswings.
3. Declining TBVPS Reflects Erosion of Asset Value
For banks, tangible book value per share (TBVPS) is a crucial metric that measures the actual value of shareholders’ equity, stripping out goodwill and other intangible assets that may not be recoverable in a worst-case scenario.
Disappointingly for investors, Franklin BSP Realty Trust’s TBVPS declined at a 1.7% annual clip over the last two years.
Final Judgment
We see the value of companies driving economic growth, but in the case of Franklin BSP Realty Trust, we’re out. After the recent drawdown, the stock trades at 0.7× forward P/B (or $11.25 per share). While this valuation is optically cheap, the potential downside is huge given its shaky fundamentals. There are better investments elsewhere. We’d suggest looking at the Amazon and PayPal of Latin America.
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