Parsons’ first quarter results for 2025 were met with a significant negative market reaction, reflecting investor disappointment after the company’s revenue came in below Wall Street expectations. Management attributed the softer revenue growth primarily to reduced volume on a confidential federal contract, which was indirectly impacted by a government review process. CEO Carey Smith explained that, despite this setback, the business delivered record first-quarter results for net income, adjusted EBITDA margin, and operating cash flow, noting, "We achieved these results despite our confidential federal contract operating at a reduced volume compared to 2024." The company also highlighted robust execution in its Critical Infrastructure segment, which helped offset some of the revenue pressure from federal programs.
Is now the time to buy PSN? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).
Parsons (PSN) Q1 CY2025 Highlights:
- Revenue: $1.55 billion vs analyst estimates of $1.62 billion (1.2% year-on-year growth, 4.2% miss)
- Adjusted EPS: $0.78 vs analyst estimates of $0.74 (5.1% beat)
- Adjusted EBITDA: $148.8 million vs analyst estimates of $142.2 million (9.6% margin, 4.6% beat)
- The company reconfirmed its revenue guidance for the full year of $7.25 billion at the midpoint
- EBITDA guidance for the full year is $675 million at the midpoint, in line with analyst expectations
- Operating Margin: 7%, in line with the same quarter last year
- Backlog: $9.07 billion at quarter end, in line with the same quarter last year
- Market Capitalization: $7.29 billion
While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions.
Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated.
Here is what has caught our attention.
Our Top 5 Analyst Questions Parsons’s Q1 Earnings Call
- Andrew Wittmann (Baird) asked about the sustainability of strong Critical Infrastructure margins. CFO Matt Ofilos confirmed that performance was driven by core business execution, not accounting adjustments, and expects full-year margins to stabilize as legacy contracts wind down.
- Mariana Perez Mora (Bank of America) inquired about the federal contract award environment following recent budget actions. CEO Carey Smith detailed a positive outlook, citing front-loaded defense spending and Parsons’ involvement in missile defense, munitions, and border security programs.
- Sheila Kahyaoglu (Jefferies) pressed for details on the confidential contract’s trajectory and its impact on revenue ramp in the second half of the year. Smith explained that the contract is operating at a reduced run rate but anticipated a potential surge if the government review concludes favorably.
- Gautam Khanna (TD Securities) questioned whether broader government spending reviews (DOGE) could further impact contracts. Smith replied that Parsons’ exposure to affected agencies is minimal and recent discussions have focused on accelerating FAA modernization, not contract cuts.
- Alex Dwyer (KeyBanc Capital Markets) sought clarity on pipeline and win rates. Smith reported a $55 billion pipeline with more than 100 opportunities over $100 million each, and win rates well above industry averages, particularly for recompetes.
Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters
In upcoming quarters, the StockStory team will be watching (1) any resolution or updates to the confidential federal contract review, (2) the pace at which large Middle East infrastructure projects ramp up and contribute to revenue, and (3) shifts in federal contract mix and backlog conversion in the Federal Solutions segment. Progress on integrating recent acquisitions and maintaining strong win rates will also be important markers for sustained growth.
Parsons currently trades at $68.19, in line with $68.68 just before the earnings. At this price, is it a buy or sell? The answer lies in our full research report (it’s free).
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