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Can Rising Capital Spending Act as a Catalyst for VST Stock's Growth?

By Jewel Saha | July 18, 2025, 9:24 AM

Vistra Corp. VST stands well-positioned for long-term growth, backed by its strategic capital allocation plan. As the energy landscape transitions toward cleaner and more reliable sources, Vistra is committing significant capital expenditures (CapEx) to enhance its renewable energy and energy storage portfolio. These investments increase the company’s ability to meet evolving demand while maintaining system reliability.

Vistra aims to invest $2.27 billion in 2025, up from $1.85 billion and $1.61 billion invested in 2024 and 2023, respectively. The company’s capital expenditure is strategically directed toward the development of solar, battery storage and modernized gas-fired facilities. Vistra owns and operates six nuclear units having a combined generation capacity of 6,448 megawatts. This diversified investment approach not only accelerates Vistra’s clean energy transition but also ensures balanced risk exposure. 

Steady CapEx spending reflects management’s long-term vision to build a more sustainable business model and improve margins. These investments align with state and federal policy incentives, making Vistra eligible for attractive tax credits and subsidies.

As CapEx supports asset expansion and technology upgrades, it enhances Vistra’s capacity and operational efficiency, thereby strengthening future cash flows. Projects like the Vistra Zero portfolio exemplify how the company leverages capital spending to transition away from carbon-intensive assets while creating new revenue streams. 

With strong fundamentals and a clear capital deployment strategy, Vistra’s steadily rising CapEx signals long-term upside potential. Investors may view Vistra as a compelling opportunity in the evolving utility and clean energy space.

How Other Utilities Are Investing in Energy Transition

Utilities across the United States are accelerating investments to lead the energy transition, channeling capital into renewable generation and storage technologies.

NextEra Energy NEE intends to invest more than $72.6 billion through 2029 to strengthen its operations. NEE’s multibillion-dollar capital plan emphasizes infrastructure modernization, grid reliability and low-cost clean energy generation.

Duke Energy Corporation DUK is investing heavily in decarbonizing its generation fleet and modernizing grid infrastructure. DUK plans to spend more than $83 billion through 2029 to strengthen its grid and expand the renewable energy portfolio.

VST’s Price Performance

Shares of Vistra have risen 57.8% in the past three months against the Zacks Utility- Electric Power industry’s decline of 1%.

Zacks Investment Research

Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

VST’s Earnings Estimate Moving North

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Vistra’s 2025 and 2026 earnings per share indicates an increase of 0.31% and 1.01%, respectively, in the past 60 days.

Zacks Investment Research

Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

VST Stock’s ROE is Higher Than Its Industry

VST’s trailing 12-month return on equity (ROE) is 87.33%, way ahead of its industry average of 10.41%. ROE, a profitability measure, reflects how effectively a company is utilizing its shareholders’ funds in operations to generate income.

Zacks Investment Research

Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

VST's Zacks Rank

Vistra currently has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

 

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NextEra Energy, Inc. (NEE): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
Duke Energy Corporation (DUK): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
Vistra Corp. (VST): Free Stock Analysis Report

This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).

Zacks Investment Research

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