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5 Must-Read Analyst Questions From American Airlines's Q2 Earnings Call

By Petr Huřťák | July 31, 2025, 1:31 AM

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American Airlines’ second quarter results were met with a negative market reaction, as investors focused on flat revenue and pressured operating margins in a challenging demand environment. Management attributed the quarter’s performance to strong demand in premium cabins and international markets, offset by persistent softness in domestic leisure travel. CEO Robert Isom noted, “Premium demand and spending from higher-income consumers remained resilient,” but also highlighted continued weakness in domestic main cabin revenue. The airline also faced disruptive weather events across key hubs, which management said led to operational challenges throughout the quarter.

Is now the time to buy AAL? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).

American Airlines (AAL) Q2 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $14.39 billion vs analyst estimates of $14.3 billion (flat year on year, 0.6% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS: $0.95 vs analyst estimates of $0.77 (23% beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $1.66 billion vs analyst estimates of $1.89 billion (11.5% margin, 12.5% miss)
  • Adjusted EPS guidance for the full year is $0.50 at the midpoint, missing analyst estimates by 34.5%
  • Operating Margin: 7.9%, down from 9.7% in the same quarter last year
  • Revenue Passenger Miles: 65.76 billion, in line with the same quarter last year
  • Market Capitalization: $7.59 billion

While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.

Our Top 5 Analyst Questions American Airlines’s Q2 Earnings Call

  • Jamie Baker (JPMorgan Securities) asked about the percentage of American’s flights operating at a loss and how management plans to reduce unprofitable flying. CEO Robert Isom emphasized the company’s focus on efficiency and anticipated that a domestic demand recovery would act as a tailwind.
  • Conor Cunningham (Melius Research) pressed for specifics on sequential domestic demand improvement and booking trends for the remainder of the year. CFO Devon May replied that July would resemble the second quarter, but anticipated improvements for August and September.
  • Catherine O’Brien (Goldman Sachs) questioned the drivers behind margin gaps with peers and the recovery of indirect channel revenue. May attributed current margin pressure to domestic exposure and recent labor cost increases, noting indirect channel share is expected to fully recover by 2026.
  • Atul Maheswari (UBS, for Tom Wadewitz) inquired about the expected revenue lift from restored indirect channel share and closing the profit margin gap with competitors. Isom and May pointed to ongoing commercial investments and partnerships as key levers for future improvement.
  • David Vernon (Bernstein) asked how American will measure progress in customer experience enhancements. Isom stated the company will track Net Promoter Scores and premium revenue growth as primary indicators of success.

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

In upcoming quarters, the StockStory team will closely monitor (1) the trajectory of domestic demand recovery, especially in the main cabin, (2) progress in recapturing indirect channel revenue share and the resulting impact on overall sales, and (3) the effectiveness of customer experience and operational initiatives in driving premium revenue growth. Ongoing cost control and the competitive response to labor expenses will also be important signposts.

American Airlines currently trades at $11.50, down from $12.70 just before the earnings. At this price, is it a buy or sell? See for yourself in our full research report (it’s free).

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