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5 Insightful Analyst Questions From Sirius XM's Q2 Earnings Call

By Jabin Bastian | August 12, 2025, 11:11 PM

SIRI Cover Image

Sirius XM’s second quarter results met Wall Street’s revenue expectations, but the market reacted negatively, reflecting concerns about persistent revenue declines and margin pressures. Management attributed the quarter’s performance to enhanced subscriber acquisition programs, such as expanded automotive partnerships and improved data initiatives, as well as disciplined cost control measures. CEO Jennifer Witz highlighted that “new acquisition initiatives, combined with continued low churn,” drove year-over-year improvement in self-pay net adds, though intentional reductions in streaming marketing spend remained a headwind.

Is now the time to buy SIRI? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).

Sirius XM (SIRI) Q2 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $2.14 billion vs analyst estimates of $2.13 billion (1.8% year-on-year decline, in line)
  • Adjusted EPS: $0.87 vs analyst estimates of $0.76 (13.6% beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $668 million vs analyst estimates of $661.5 million (31.2% margin, 1% beat)
  • The company reconfirmed its revenue guidance for the full year of $8.5 billion at the midpoint
  • EBITDA guidance for the full year is $2.6 billion at the midpoint, in line with analyst expectations
  • Operating Margin: 17.1%, down from 23.2% in the same quarter last year
  • Subscribers: 8.23 million
  • Market Capitalization: $7.09 billion

While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.

Our Top 5 Analyst Questions From Sirius XM’s Q2 Earnings Call

  • Jessica Jean Reif Ehrlich (Bank of America) asked about the lack of full-year free cash flow guidance increase, despite a strong Q2. CFO Thomas Barry explained that timing effects and new tax legislation required further review before updating the outlook.

  • Barton Evans Crockett (Rosenblat Securities) questioned the scale and future impact of podcast advertising growth. CEO Jennifer Witz described ongoing expansion, but noted that podcasting remains a smaller share of total ad revenue, with growth dependent on broader advertiser adoption and improved measurement.

  • Steven Lee Cahall (Wells Fargo) inquired about the impact of simplified in-car pricing and the likely benefits for average revenue per user (ARPU) and subscriber retention. CEO Jennifer Witz stated that new packaging is driving higher retention and ARPU is expected to improve through the year as recent price increases take effect.

  • Kutgun Maral (Evercore ISI) asked for detail on Q2 subscriber trends and whether new acquisition initiatives are sustainable. CEO Jennifer Witz pointed to ongoing improvements from expanded OEM programs and data enhancements, but cautioned that certain headwinds would persist in the back half of the year.

  • Stephen Neild Laszczyk (Goldman Sachs) sought clarification on the rollout pace and adoption of the new ad-supported “Play” plan. COO Wayne Thorsen explained that the plan is being selectively offered to targeted customer cohorts, with broader rollout and incremental ad inventory expected to scale gradually by the end of the year.

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

In the coming quarters, the StockStory team will closely monitor (1) the adoption rate and monetization impact of the new “Play” ad-supported subscription tier, (2) continued progress in podcasting partnerships and cross-platform distribution, and (3) the trajectory of cost-saving initiatives and their effect on margins. Additionally, we will watch for stabilization or recovery in the advertising market, which remains a key variable for future growth.

Sirius XM currently trades at $21.09, down from $22.95 just before the earnings. At this price, is it a buy or sell? The answer lies in our full research report (it’s free).

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