Fast-food pizza chain Papa John’s (NASDAQ:PZZA) beat Wall Street’s revenue expectations in Q2 CY2025, with sales up 4.2% year on year to $529.2 million. Its non-GAAP profit of $0.41 per share was 20.6% above analysts’ consensus estimates.
Is now the time to buy PZZA? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).
Papa John's (PZZA) Q2 CY2025 Highlights:
- Revenue: $529.2 million vs analyst estimates of $515.4 million (4.2% year-on-year growth, 2.7% beat)
- Adjusted EPS: $0.41 vs analyst estimates of $0.34 (20.6% beat)
- Adjusted EBITDA: $48 million vs analyst estimates of $46.82 million (9.1% margin, 2.5% beat)
- EBITDA guidance for the full year is $210 million at the midpoint, above analyst estimates of $204.3 million
- Operating Margin: 4.6%, in line with the same quarter last year
- Locations: 5,989 at quarter end, up from 5,883 in the same quarter last year
- Same-Store Sales rose 1.6% year on year (-2.7% in the same quarter last year)
- Market Capitalization: $1.51 billion
StockStory’s Take
Papa John’s delivered a stronger-than-expected Q2, as evidenced by a significant positive market reaction following its results. Management credited the quarter’s performance to a return to positive same-store sales in North America, the successful rollout of new menu items like Cheddar Crust and Shaq-a-Roni, and targeted investments in loyalty and marketing. CEO Todd Penegor emphasized that “our Cheddar Crust innovation, combined with the addition of a fan favorite Shaq-a-Roni pizza as a long-term menu item plus continued strong value message... delivered an increase in both the average number of pies per order and overall pizza sales versus last year.” Strategic focus on product innovation and operational improvements enabled the company to grow transactions and customer engagement.
Looking ahead, management’s guidance is shaped by continued investments in digital technology, an expanded innovation pipeline, and international market momentum. Penegor outlined a plan to leverage AI and data analytics to enhance customer personalization, while CFO Ravi Thanawala highlighted that supply chain optimization and refranchising initiatives will support future margin improvement. Management believes that ongoing innovation, tech-driven customer experiences, and cost-saving efforts will be key to sustaining profitable growth, with Penegor stating, “We are in a solid position to deliver sustainable value creation to all stakeholders as we move into the second half of 2025 and beyond.”
Key Insights from Management’s Remarks
Management attributed the quarter’s results to new menu launches, improved digital engagement, and international market recovery. Additional supply chain and refranchising efforts were highlighted as foundational for future profitability.
- Menu innovation returns: The introduction of Cheddar Crust and the permanent Shaq-a-Roni pizza drove higher order size and a 6% increase in pizzas sold, reflecting renewed focus on product innovation after a period of limited new offerings.
- Loyalty program enhancements: Changes to the Papa Rewards program, including lowering the redemption threshold, led to 2.7 million new members since November. Management noted increased frequency and engagement among loyalty members, which contributed to improved transaction growth.
- Localized marketing initiatives: Targeted regional marketing and a test-and-learn approach in key markets are being used to optimize spend and drive improved brand consideration, particularly through campaigns like Meet the Makers and digital activations aimed at younger consumers.
- Technology upgrades: Investment in digital infrastructure, including a partnership with Google Cloud and expansion of AI capabilities, resulted in higher app conversion rates and better personalized marketing. Management believes this digital strategy is crucial, as 70% of system sales are generated through owned digital channels.
- International transformation progress: International comparable sales rose 4%, with standout performance in the UK and growth in aggregator-fueled delivery. Closures of underperforming units in China are part of a broader optimization to support healthier long-term growth across priority markets.
Drivers of Future Performance
Management’s outlook is anchored in ongoing menu innovation, supply chain optimization, and digital investments to boost customer acquisition and operational efficiency.
- Continued innovation cadence: Management plans to accelerate product launches, with new shareable pizza formats, expanded dipping sauces, and the Grand Papa (largest pizza ever) in testing. They believe a steady stream of product news will attract new and lapsed customers, supporting higher transaction counts.
- Supply chain and refranchising: More than $50 million in identified supply chain cost savings, with 40% expected by 2026, are intended to improve restaurant-level margins. The ongoing refranchising strategy, including the sale of 85 company-owned units, is expected to strengthen market share and unlock capital for growth.
- Enhanced digital experience: Upgrades to the app, CRM, and loyalty platforms, as well as new omnichannel ordering options such as voice AI, are expected to increase customer engagement and repeat purchases. Management is focused on leveraging these tools to drive personalization and improve marketing return on investment.
Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters
Looking ahead, the StockStory team will be watching (1) the pace and success of new menu item introductions and their impact on customer acquisition, (2) realization of supply chain cost savings and improvements in restaurant-level profitability, and (3) the effectiveness of digital upgrades in driving loyalty engagement and repeat purchases. Execution of refranchising and international market optimization will also be closely monitored for sustainable growth.
Papa John's currently trades at $45.98, up from $40.52 just before the earnings. Is there an opportunity in the stock?Find out in our full research report (it’s free).
Now Could Be The Perfect Time To Invest In These Stocks
Donald Trump’s April 2025 "Liberation Day" tariffs sent markets into a tailspin, but stocks have since rebounded strongly, proving that knee-jerk reactions often create the best buying opportunities.
The smart money is already positioning for the next leg up. Don’t miss out on the recovery - check out our Top 5 Strong Momentum Stocks for this week. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 183% over the last five years (as of March 31st 2025).
Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,545% between March 2020 and March 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-micro-cap company Tecnoglass (+1,754% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today.
StockStory is growing and hiring equity analyst and marketing roles. Are you a 0 to 1 builder passionate about the markets and AI? See the open roles here.