Warner Music Group’s second quarter results were met with a positive market reaction, reflecting confidence in the company’s growth strategy and operational execution. Management highlighted a broad-based reacceleration in revenue, driven by strong chart performance, expanding market share in key regions, and notable success with both new releases and catalog marketing. CEO Robert Kyncl credited “a virtuous cycle by putting more money behind the music while simultaneously becoming leaner and stronger,” and pointed to gains in the U.S. market aided by leading positions on global streaming charts.
Is now the time to buy WMG? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).
Warner Music Group (WMG) Q2 CY2025 Highlights:
- Revenue: $1.69 billion vs analyst estimates of $1.59 billion (8.7% year-on-year growth, 6.2% beat)
- Adjusted EPS: $0.25 vs analyst expectations of $0.29 (16.5% miss)
- Adjusted EBITDA: $373 million vs analyst estimates of $339.9 million (22.1% margin, 9.7% beat)
- Operating Margin: 10%, down from 13.3% in the same quarter last year
- Market Capitalization: $16.73 billion
While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions.
Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated.
Here is what has caught our attention.
Our Top 5 Analyst Questions From Warner Music Group’s Q2 Earnings Call
- Benjamin Daniel Swinburne (Morgan Stanley) asked about the balance between cost reduction and investment; CEO Robert Kyncl said the reorganization would “free up a lot more capital” for targeted growth, while Zerza highlighted prioritizing markets with the highest potential.
- Michael C. Morris (Guggenheim Securities) inquired about sustainability of streaming growth and capital allocation; Zerza emphasized continued investment in core music, stepped-up M&A, and a focus on maintaining 50–60% cash conversion.
- Benjamin Thomas Black (Deutsche Bank) probed the sustainability of new artist success; Kyncl attributed it to ongoing A&R investment and leadership strength, while Zerza discussed the strategic rationale behind the Bain joint venture.
- Peter Lawler Supino (Wolfe Research) requested details on cost savings and organic growth transparency; Zerza outlined the global-local organizational redesign, and Kyncl described the company’s focus on both new releases and catalog marketing as organic growth drivers.
- Richard Scott Greenfield (LightShed Partners) asked about the evolution of premium “superfan” product tiers; Kyncl confirmed ongoing deep discussions with partners and recognized the need to leverage interactivity and personalization for future offerings.
Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters
In the coming quarters, the StockStory team will be monitoring (1) the impact of newly renegotiated streaming contracts and progress on premium-tier product launches; (2) the realization of cost savings and margin expansion from the organizational restructuring; and (3) the pace and financial contribution of catalog acquisitions through the Bain Capital joint venture. Additionally, the effectiveness of technology rollouts for artists and staff will be key to sustaining operating leverage.
Warner Music Group currently trades at $31.74, up from $30.03 just before the earnings. Is there an opportunity in the stock?Find out in our full research report (it’s free).
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