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BMO Capital Markets Reduces Rating on United Parcel Service (UPS) Stock

By Bob Karr | September 24, 2025, 9:54 AM

United Parcel Service, Inc. (NYSE:UPS) is one of the Best Undervalued Stocks to Invest in According to Reddit. On September 18, BMO Capital Markets reduced the rating on the company’s stock to “Hold” from “Buy”, decreasing the price objective to $96 from $125. The analyst doesn’t see a demand recovery in United Parcel Service, Inc. (NYSE:UPS)’s business-to-business segment. This situation can be exacerbated if the broader US economy continues to cool or sees a recession.

BMO Capital Markets Reduces Rating on United Parcel Service (UPS) Stock

The company’s Q2 2025 results demonstrate both the complexity of the landscape and the strength of its execution. For FY 2025, United Parcel Service, Inc. (NYSE:UPS) expects capital expenditures of ~$3.5 billion, and $3.5 billion in expected expense reductions because of its network reconfiguration and Efficiency Reimagined initiatives. United Parcel Service, Inc. (NYSE:UPS) continues to make progress on its strategic initiatives, and it remains confident that the actions are positioning it for stronger long-term financial performance and enhanced competitive advantage.

River Road Asset Management, an investment management company, released its Q4 2024 investor letter. Here is what the fund said:

“As of December 31, the portfolio held 29 positions, up four positions from Q3. During Q4, the largest sector increase was 736 bps within industrials, while the largest decrease was -276 bps within consumer discretionary. We established five new positions and eliminated one position

We also initiated a position in United Parcel Service, Inc. (NYSE:UPS) (Cl B) (UPS, 3.0 conviction), the world’s largest package delivery company, which handles over six billion packages annually and can reach 90% of the world’s gross domestic product (GDP) within a day. After years of elevated network investments to expand capacity, UPS has refocused its strategy on growing return on invested capital (ROIC). We believe the stock will rerate higher as margins, which we believe have bottomed, are expected to expand with the price per package growing faster than the cost per package. In the interim, investors collect a 5% dividend, which has grown in 21 out of 24 years since UPS went public. The dividend is supported by healthy free cash flow and an investment grade balance sheet with ~1x net leverage.”

While we acknowledge the potential of UPS as an investment, we believe certain AI stocks offer greater upside potential and carry less downside risk. If you’re looking for an extremely undervalued AI stock that also stands to benefit significantly from Trump-era tariffs and the onshoring trend, see our free report on the best short-term AI stock.

READ NEXT: 13 Cheap AI Stocks to Buy According to Analysts and 11 Unstoppable Growth Stocks to Invest in Now

Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.

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