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Vistra Corp. (VST) Stock Drops Despite Market Gains: Important Facts to Note

By Zacks Equity Research | October 17, 2025, 5:45 PM

In the latest trading session, Vistra Corp. (VST) closed at $201.35, marking a -4.3% move from the previous day. This change lagged the S&P 500's daily gain of 0.53%. Meanwhile, the Dow gained 0.52%, and the Nasdaq, a tech-heavy index, added 0.52%.

The company's stock has climbed by 0.11% in the past month, falling short of the Utilities sector's gain of 4.05% and the S&P 500's gain of 0.71%.

The upcoming earnings release of Vistra Corp. will be of great interest to investors. The company's earnings report is expected on November 6, 2025. It is anticipated that the company will report an EPS of $1.78, marking a 66.1% fall compared to the same quarter of the previous year. Simultaneously, our latest consensus estimate expects the revenue to be $7.39 billion, showing a 17.55% escalation compared to the year-ago quarter.

In terms of the entire fiscal year, the Zacks Consensus Estimates predict earnings of $6.8 per share and a revenue of $20.48 billion, indicating changes of -2.86% and +18.88%, respectively, from the former year.

Any recent changes to analyst estimates for Vistra Corp. should also be noted by investors. These latest adjustments often mirror the shifting dynamics of short-term business patterns. As such, positive estimate revisions reflect analyst optimism about the business and profitability.

Based on our research, we believe these estimate revisions are directly related to near-term stock moves. Investors can capitalize on this by using the Zacks Rank. This model considers these estimate changes and provides a simple, actionable rating system.

The Zacks Rank system, ranging from #1 (Strong Buy) to #5 (Strong Sell), possesses a remarkable history of outdoing, externally audited, with #1 stocks returning an average annual gain of +25% since 1988. Over the last 30 days, the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate has moved 7.99% higher. Vistra Corp. presently features a Zacks Rank of #3 (Hold).

With respect to valuation, Vistra Corp. is currently being traded at a Forward P/E ratio of 30.93. This expresses a premium compared to the average Forward P/E of 19.32 of its industry.

We can additionally observe that VST currently boasts a PEG ratio of 2.99. The PEG ratio is akin to the commonly utilized P/E ratio, but this measure also incorporates the company's anticipated earnings growth rate. The Utility - Electric Power was holding an average PEG ratio of 2.89 at yesterday's closing price.

The Utility - Electric Power industry is part of the Utilities sector. At present, this industry carries a Zacks Industry Rank of 40, placing it within the top 17% of over 250 industries.

The Zacks Industry Rank assesses the strength of our separate industry groups by calculating the average Zacks Rank of the individual stocks contained within the groups. Our research shows that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1.

You can find more information on all of these metrics, and much more, on Zacks.com.

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Vistra Corp. (VST): Free Stock Analysis Report

This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).

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