Why Verisk (VRSK) Stock Is Trading Lower Today

What Happened?

Shares of insurance data analytics provider Verisk Analytics (NASDAQ:VRSK) fell 1.9% in the afternoon session after its Extreme Event Solutions group announced an estimate for industry-insured losses in Jamaica from Hurricane Melissa, projecting a range between $2.2 billion and $4.2 billion. The estimate covered onshore properties and noted that most of the modeled loss was due to wind damage. This news likely added to investor concerns, as it followed a recent update where Verisk had lowered its full-year 2025 revenue guidance. The company had cited softer demand stemming from unusually mild weather and a reduced government contract for the lowered outlook.

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What Is The Market Telling Us

Verisk’s shares are not very volatile and have only had 4 moves greater than 5% over the last year. In that context, today’s move indicates the market considers this news meaningful, although it might not be something that would fundamentally change its perception of the business.

The previous big move we wrote about was 5 days ago when the stock dropped 11.4% on the news that the company reported third-quarter results that missed revenue expectations and lowered its full-year sales forecast. The data analytics firm now expects full-year revenue of $3.07 billion at the midpoint, down from its previous forecast of $3.11 billion and below analysts' average estimate. The company also guided for full-year EBITDA of $1.71 billion, missing Wall Street's expectation of $1.74 billion. While Verisk's adjusted earnings per share of $1.72 for the quarter did beat expectations by 1%, its revenue of $768.3 million fell short of forecasts, compounding investor concerns about the company's growth outlook.

Verisk is down 21.8% since the beginning of the year, and at $213.88 per share, it is trading 33.4% below its 52-week high of $321.33 from June 2025. Investors who bought $1,000 worth of Verisk’s shares 5 years ago would now be looking at an investment worth $1,138.

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