Palantir Stock Appreciates 22% Year to Date: Buy, Hold, or Sell?

Palantir Technologies Inc. PLTR has defied the broader tech market slump, surging 15% year to date, while the industry as a whole has witnessed a steep 6% decline. This performance stands out at a time when many tech giants are struggling to regain momentum amid a challenging macroeconomic landscape.

The recent surge in Palantir’s stock was fueled by a sharp 19% single-day rally following President Donald Trump’s announcement of a 90-day suspension on the previously imposed "reciprocal" tariffs targeting several nations.

Meanwhile, heavyweight tech stocks like Nvidia NVDA and Oracle ORCL have not been as fortunate. Nvidia, a leading force in AI and graphics processing technology, has recorded a 15% drop so far this year. Similarly, Oracle, renowned for its enterprise software and cloud infrastructure services, has declined 16% year to date.

In this environment, Palantir’s relative strength raises the question: Does PLTR still present a compelling investment opportunity, even after such a strong upward move? Investors seeking to diversify in AI and data analytics may find value here, particularly when compared with underperformers like Nvidia, which continues to battle cyclical headwinds, and Oracle, which faces pressure on its cloud transition pace and market sentiment.

Let’s see if PLTR still offers a buying opportunity even after such a continuous rise.

Palantir's Role in the Evolving AI Economy

We are in the midst of an AI boom characterized by rapid advancements and a proliferation of AI models. By 2026, the oversaturation of AI solutions is expected to become even more evident. Palantir has recognized this shift and strategically positioned itself to capitalize on the changing dynamics of the AI economy.

While many companies are engaged in an arms race to develop slightly improved AI models, Palantir differentiates itself by focusing on seamless AI integration into enterprise operations. The company refers to this approach as quantified exceptionalism, delivering transformative, measurable outcomes such as time savings, cost reductions and productivity enhancements.

At the core of Palantir’s strategy is its Artificial Intelligence Platform, which enables businesses to structure and organize their data — whether financial, supply chain, operational or HR-related — so that AI can process and execute tasks more effectively. By leveraging an ontology-driven approach, Palantir creates digital representations of entire enterprises, allowing AI to interact seamlessly with business operations. Unlike companies that contribute to the oversupply of AI models, Palantir is actively shaping the demand side of the AI economy, positioning itself as a key player in enterprise AI adoption.

Strong Financial Position and Growth Trajectory

Palantir’s financial health further reinforces its investment appeal. As of Dec. 31, 2024, the company held $5.2 billion in cash and equivalents, with zero debt, providing ample liquidity to invest in growth initiatives.

Moreover, Palantir’s recent financial performance underscores its strength. In 2024, revenues surged 29% year over year, with its U.S. commercial business experiencing 54% growth. The company has also secured several high-profile customer deals, including partnerships with Walgreens and Heineken, which have driven a bullish sentiment in the stock market. Additionally, Palantir has formed strategic alliances with TWG Global, EYSA, Voyager and Databricks, further solidifying its market position.

Upbeat Earnings Projections

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Palantir’s first-quarter 2025 earnings stands at 13 cents per share, reflecting 62.5% year-over-year growth. For 2025 and 2026, earnings are projected to rise 37% and 26%, respectively, compared to prior-year figures.

Sales are also expected to see robust growth, increasing 36.3% in the first quarter of 2025, with full-year sales projected to rise 32.1% in 2025 and 27.9% in 2026.

PLTR is Overvalued

Palantir's forward 12-month P/E ratio of 154.52, significantly higher than the industry average of 32.55, indicates a steep overvaluation. This premium suggests investors are pricing in aggressive future growth, particularly in AI and government contracts. However, such a high multiple also reflects elevated expectations, leaving little room for error. While confidence in Palantir’s long-term potential remains strong, the valuation implies that much of the anticipated success is already baked into the stock price, making it vulnerable to short-term volatility.

PLTR: Retain but Not Add

Palantir has shown impressive momentum this year, outperforming many peers in a weak tech market. Its focus on embedding AI into enterprise operations, backed by strategic partnerships and a solid financial foundation, supports its long-term growth potential. However, the stock appears richly valued, reflecting high investor expectations. This limits near-term upside and makes the stock more sensitive to any disappointments. Given the current valuation and strong future prospects, a hold stance is appropriate. Investors should retain existing positions while keeping an eye on performance trends and broader market conditions before considering any additional investment.

PLTR currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

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This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).

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