Carving Up Profits: 3 Food Stocks on the Thanksgiving Table

By Jeffrey Neal Johnson | November 12, 2025, 5:26 PM

Thanksgiving table with a turkey in the center.

As families plan their Thanksgiving menus, a different kind of feast is unfolding on Wall Street. The companies that stock our pantries and fill our dinner tables are making big strategic moves, catching the attention of investors. The main course was served on Nov. 10, when private-label food giant TreeHouse Foods (NYSE: THS) saw its stock surge over 22% following news of a multi-billion-dollar buyout.

This acquisition, orchestrated by a major private equity firm, signals that sophisticated investors see deep, untapped value in the food manufacturing sector. It raises the question: what other opportunities are hiding in plain sight? Beyond TreeHouse, key suppliers such as Tyson Foods (NYSE: TSN) and Dole plc (NYSE: DOLE) also reported significant developments, each presenting a distinct yet compelling investment case. For investors, this creates a menu of distinct opportunities, each with its own recipe for potential returns.

TreeHouse Foods: An Acquisition Served With a Premium

The most significant news driving the food sector is the agreement for TreeHouse Foods to be acquired by the investment firm Investindustrial. The all-cash transaction carries a total enterprise value of approximately $2.9 billion, a figure that sent a clear message to the market about the company's underlying worth.

Shareholders are set to receive $22.50 per share in cash.

This price represents a substantial 38% premium to the company's closing stock price on September 26, 2025, the last trading day before market speculation about a potential deal began.

The market reacted swiftly, sending TreeHouse Food’s stock up 22.83% to close at $23.40 on the day of the announcement.

This buyout presents a valuable exit opportunity for shareholders, particularly following a challenging third quarter during which the company reported a net loss and missed analyst expectations.

The deal also includes a bonus dish for shareholders in the form of a non-transferable Contingent Value Right (CVR). This provides investors with a potential future payout tied to the outcome of ongoing antitrust litigation against Keurig (NASDAQ: KDP) and Green Mountain, related to the single-serve coffee market.

For investors, the narrative for TreeHouse Foods has now shifted. The stock is no longer a bet on the company's operational performance but an event-driven opportunity centered on the successful closing of the acquisition, expected in the first quarter of 2026. While several law firms have launched standard investigations into the deal's fairness, the significant premium paid by private equity serves as a strong validation that there was substantial unlocked value in the business.

Tyson Foods: Poultry Profits Power a Turnaround

As the potential supplier of the Thanksgiving turkey, Tyson Foods is a household name, and its latest financial report tells a story of strategic resilience.

Tyson reported strong fiscal Q4 and full-year 2025 results that exceeded analyst expectations on adjusted earnings, resulting in a 2.41% increase in its stock price to $53.95.

The company's performance was driven by the exceptional strength of its chicken segment, which is successfully offsetting industry-wide challenges in its beef business.

Key results highlighting this dynamic include:

  • Strong Full-Year Performance: Fiscal 2025 sales grew 2.1% to $54.44 billion, while adjusted earnings-per-share (EPS) surged 33% to $4.12.
  • Chicken Segment Dominance: The chicken segment delivered an impressive 10.4% adjusted operating margin in the fourth quarter, a testament to strong consumer demand and effective cost management.
  • Beef Segment Headwinds: In stark contrast, the beef segment posted a negative adjusted operating margin of (1.6)% in the fourth quarter, squeezed by record-high cattle costs and weakening consumer demand at higher price points.

Despite the pressure on its beef business, Tyson's diversified model is proving its worth. In a strong signal of management's confidence, the company's Board of Directors approved a 2% increase in its quarterly dividend. Furthermore, the company issued an upbeat outlook for fiscal 2026, forecasting sales growth of 2% to 4%.

For investors, the takeaway is clear: Tyson's powerful poultry and prepared foods divisions are generating enough profit and cash flow to navigate the cyclical downturn in the beef market. The positive market reaction suggests investors are focused on this operational strength and the company's confident outlook.

Dole: Focused Strategy and Shareholder Returns

No holiday meal is complete without fresh sides and desserts, and Dole plc is making strategic moves to ensure it remains a top supplier. The company recently reported mixed third-quarter earnings results, with revenue beating expectations while earnings fell short. However, the bigger story for investors lies in the company's strategic pivot toward a leaner, more focused business model.

In August 2025, Dole completed the sale of its Fresh Vegetables division.

This move was a key strategic milestone, freeing up capital and allowing the company to concentrate on its core, higher-margin businesses.

This discipline is already paying off for investors. Dole's Board of Directors promptly authorized a new $100 million share repurchase program, demonstrating a clear commitment to returning capital to shareholders.

Despite sourcing cost pressures that impacted the Q3 EPS of 5 cents, the overall business is performing well. 

Key indicators of this strength include:

  • Strong Revenue Growth: Third-quarter revenue grew an impressive 10.5% year-over-year to $2.3 billion, surpassing analyst forecasts.
  • Raised Full-Year Guidance: Citing strong momentum, management raised its full-year adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization guidance to the upper end of its target range of $380−390 million.

For investors, Dole represents a compelling special situation where a strategic change is unlocking value. The investment case is centered on a more profitable and streamlined company with a clear and aggressive capital return policy, achieved through dividend payments and share buybacks. The strong revenue performance and confident outlook suggest the company is successfully navigating its operational challenges.

The Final Bite: A Plate for Every Palate

The blockbuster buyout of TreeHouse Foods has confirmed what savvy investors suspected—companies that stock America's pantries are undervalued. The recent earnings reports and strategic announcements from Tyson Foods and Dole plc reinforce this theme, each showcasing a unique path to creating value. 

The Thanksgiving table offers a diverse menu of investment opportunities. TreeHouse Foods presents an event-driven play with a defined cash payout at a substantial premium. Tyson Foods represents a resilient industry giant, leveraging its powerful poultry segment to navigate the cycle and reward shareholders with a growing dividend. Finally, Dole plc presents a compelling narrative of a company strategically refocusing to unlock and return significant value through an aggressive buyback program. For investors paying attention, the food sector is serving up more than just dinner this holiday season.

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The article "Carving Up Profits: 3 Food Stocks on the Thanksgiving Table" first appeared on MarketBeat.

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