Retail Stock Has More Room to Run After Earnings

Urban Outfitters Inc (NASDAQ:URBN) stock enjoyed a 13.5% pop after the apparel retailer's most recent earnings report, going on to hit its highest level since August last session. The security already boasts a 40.8% lead for 2025, but a historically bullish signal indicates it may have even more room to run.

The equity's recent peak comes amid low implied volatility (IV), per its Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 37%, which ranks in the 14th percentile of its annual range. This has occurred six other times over the last five years, after which the security was was higher one month later 67% of the time, averaging a 5.8% pop. Last seen down 2.5% to trade at $77.22, a similar move from its current perch would place URBN back above $81.

An unwinding of pessimism could push URBN even higher. Of the 11 brokerage firms covering the stock, six still carry a tepid "hold" rating. Plus, short interest accounts for 14.8% of the stock's available float.

Options traders have been much more bearish than usual, too, per the stock's 50-day put/call volume ratio of 4.25 over at the International Securities Exchange (ISE), Cboe Options Exchange (CBOE), and NASDAQ OMX PHLX (PHLX), which sits higher than 98% of annual readings. Should these bears change their mind, it could provide even more momentum.