McCormick's (NYSE:MKC) Q4 CY2025 Sales Top Estimates But Stock Drops

Food flavoring company McCormick (NYSE:MKC) announced better-than-expected revenue in Q4 CY2025, with sales up 2.9% year on year to $1.85 billion. Its non-GAAP profit of $0.86 per share was 1.8% below analysts’ consensus estimates.

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Brendan M. Foley, Chairman, President, and CEO, stated, "McCormick's performance in 2025 demonstrated the strength and resilience of our business. We achieved differentiated, volume-led organic growth and share gains powered by continued investment in our brands, expanded distribution, and innovation across our portfolio. Despite inflationary pressures and rising costs from a shifting global trade environment, we achieved operating profit growth and operating margin expansion while continuing to invest for future growth. Additionally, we generated strong cash flow, strengthened our balance sheet, and advanced our flavor leadership through the McCormick de Mexico transaction."

Company Overview

The classic red Heinz ketchup bottle’s competitor, McCormick (NYSE:MKC) sells food-flavoring products like condiments, spices, and seasoning mixes.

Revenue Growth

A company’s long-term performance is an indicator of its overall quality. Any business can have short-term success, but a top-tier one grows for years.

With $6.84 billion in revenue over the past 12 months, McCormick is one of the larger consumer staples companies and benefits from a well-known brand that influences purchasing decisions. However, its scale is a double-edged sword because there are only so many big store chains to sell into, making it harder to find incremental growth. For McCormick to boost its sales, it likely needs to adjust its prices, launch new offerings, or lean into foreign markets.

As you can see below, McCormick’s 2.5% annualized revenue growth over the last three years was sluggish, but to its credit, consumers bought more of its products.

This quarter, McCormick reported modest year-on-year revenue growth of 2.9% but beat Wall Street’s estimates by 0.9%.

Looking ahead, sell-side analysts expect revenue to grow 10.7% over the next 12 months, an acceleration versus the last three years. This projection is healthy and suggests its newer products will catalyze better top-line performance.

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Volume Growth

Revenue growth can be broken down into changes in price and volume (the number of units sold). While both are important, volume is the lifeblood of a successful staples business as there’s a ceiling to what consumers will pay for everyday goods; they can always trade down to non-branded products if the branded versions are too expensive.

McCormick’s average quarterly volume growth was a healthy 1% over the last two years. This is pleasing because it shows consumers are purchasing more of its products.

In McCormick’s Q4 2025, year on year sales volumes were flat. This result was a meaningful deceleration from its historical levels. We’ll be watching closely to see if McCormick can reaccelerate demand for its products.

Key Takeaways from McCormick’s Q4 Results

We enjoyed seeing McCormick beat analysts’ EBITDA expectations this quarter. We were also happy its revenue narrowly outperformed Wall Street’s estimates. On the other hand, its gross margin missed and its full-year EPS guidance fell short of Wall Street’s estimates, and the latter seems to be weighing heavily on shares. Zooming out, we think this was a mixed quarter. The market seemed to be hoping for more, and the stock traded down 6.2% to $62.46 immediately after reporting.

Should you buy the stock or not? When making that decision, it’s important to consider its valuation, business qualities, as well as what has happened in the latest quarter. We cover that in our actionable full research report which you can read here (it’s free).