Business services providers play a critical role for enterprises, assisting them with everything from new hardware integrations to consulting and marketing. Still, investors are uneasy as firms face challenges from AI-driven disruptors and tightening corporate budgets.
These doubts have caused the industry to lag recently as services stocks have collectively shed 12.8% over the past six months. This drawdown was worse than the S&P 500’s 10% decline.
A cautious approach is imperative when dabbling in these companies as many are also sensitive to the ebbs and flows of the broader economy. Keeping that in mind, here are three services stocks that may face trouble.
CoreCivic (CXW)
Market Cap: $2.43 billion
Originally founded in 1983 as the first private prison company in the United States, CoreCivic (NYSE:CXW) operates correctional facilities, detention centers, and residential reentry programs for government agencies across the United States.
Why Do We Steer Clear of CXW?
Number of average available beds
has disappointed over the past two years, indicating weak demand for its offerings
Performance over the past two years shows its incremental sales were much less profitable, as its earnings per share fell by 22.8% annually
Free cash flow margin dropped by 8 percentage points over the last five years, implying the company became more capital intensive as competition picked up
With roots dating back to 1859 and a presence in over 100 countries, Diebold Nixdorf (NYSE:DBD) provides automated self-service technology, software, and services that help banks and retailers digitize their customer transactions.
Why Are We Wary of DBD?
Sales tumbled by 3.2% annually over the last five years, showing market trends are working against its favor during this cycle
Projected sales are flat for the next 12 months, implying demand will slow from its two-year trend
Cash-burning tendencies make us wonder if it can sustainably generate shareholder value
Originally developed for World Expo '67 in Montreal as an innovative projection system, IMAX (NYSE:IMAX) provides proprietary large-format cinema technology and systems that deliver immersive movie experiences with enhanced image quality and sound.
Why Does IMAX Worry Us?
Products and services are facing significant end-market challenges during this cycle as sales have declined by 2.3% annually over the last five years
Falling earnings per share over the last five years has some investors worried as stock prices ultimately follow EPS over the long term
Poor free cash flow margin of -0.6% for the last five years limits its freedom to invest in growth initiatives, execute share buybacks, or pay dividends
Market indices reached historic highs following Donald Trump’s presidential victory in November 2024, but the outlook for 2025 is clouded by new trade policies that could impact business confidence and growth.
While this has caused many investors to adopt a "fearful" wait-and-see approach, we’re leaning into our best ideas that can grow regardless of the political or macroeconomic climate.
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