BA Q4 Deep Dive: Production Stability and Backlog Growth Shape Boeing's Turnaround

Aerospace and defense company Boeing (NYSE:BA) reported Q4 CY2025 results topping the market’s revenue expectations, with sales up 57.1% year on year to $23.95 billion. Its non-GAAP profit of $9.92 per share was significantly above analysts’ consensus estimates.

Is now the time to buy BA? Find out in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).

StockStory’s Take

Boeing’s fourth quarter saw a positive market reaction as the company reported results ahead of Wall Street’s revenue and profit expectations, driven by improved operational execution and a substantial increase in commercial airplane deliveries. Management pointed to the successful implementation of a safety and quality plan, higher production rates, and significant progress on development programs. CEO Kelly Ortberg highlighted Boeing’s efforts to deliver the most commercial aircraft since 2018, noting, “We delivered 600 airplanes and won more than 1,100 commercial orders for the year, making this one of our highest order totals ever.”

Looking ahead, Boeing’s forward outlook is anchored by its intent to ramp up production while navigating certification timelines and supply chain integration, particularly following the Spirit AeroSystems acquisition. Management emphasized that achieving higher commercial output and meeting key regulatory milestones remain critical. CFO Jay Mollave described the path to improved cash flow as dependent on “production stability and continuous improvement in on-time delivery,” while Ortberg underscored the need to “continue to elevate the performance that we’ve demonstrated over the past twelve months.”

Key Insights from Management’s Remarks

Management attributed the strong quarter to higher commercial airplane output, operational improvements across programs, and a record order backlog, while also addressing progress in defense and services.

• Commercial production ramp: Boeing increased its production rates for the 737 and 787 programs, resulting in the delivery of the most commercial airplanes since 2018. The focus on simplifying work instructions and improving factory health contributed to this operational turnaround.
• Supply chain integration: The acquisition of Spirit AeroSystems was completed, with management stating this move will reinforce efforts to improve safety and quality throughout Boeing’s operations. Plans are in place to ensure a smooth integration and maintain continuity for customers and suppliers.
• Development program milestones: Boeing advanced several key certification and development programs, including progress on the 737-10 and 777-9. FAA approvals and flight testing are on track, though management acknowledged challenges remain, particularly with engine durability and certification timing.
• Defense segment progress: The defense business (BDS) achieved notable wins, including the US Air Force sixth-generation fighter contract and progress on programs such as the MQ-25 and T-7A Red Hawk. Management also noted improvements in operational performance and backlog growth.
• Services innovation: Boeing Global Services launched a unified e-commerce platform, streamlining access to the company’s distribution portfolio. The segment also secured large commercial and government service deals, supporting a diverse revenue base and contributing to record backlog.

Drivers of Future Performance

Boeing’s outlook for the coming year centers on production rate increases, program certifications, and improved cash flow, tempered by ongoing integration and legacy program risks.

• Production rate increases: Management outlined plans to scale 737 and 787 production, with investments in new lines and factory expansions. Achieving these targets depends on supply chain stability and labor ramp-up, especially following the Spirit AeroSystems integration.
• Certification and delivery milestones: Progress on certifying new 737 MAX and 777-9 models is crucial for future deliveries and customer commitments. Management cautioned that any delays in regulatory approvals or technical challenges could impact delivery timelines and cash flow.
• Legacy program and integration risks: Risks remain tied to legacy fixed-price defense contracts, delayed cash receipts, and the ongoing integration of Spirit AeroSystems. Management expects these factors to gradually improve but highlighted that achieving normalized cash flow relies on executing current plans without significant new disruptions.

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

In upcoming quarters, the StockStory team will be monitoring (1) Boeing’s ability to ramp commercial aircraft production while maintaining quality and on-time delivery, (2) the pace of integration and operational improvement following the Spirit AeroSystems acquisition, and (3) progress on key certification milestones for new aircraft models. Sustained momentum in the defense and services segments will also be critical for meeting long-term financial targets.

Boeing currently trades at $244.49, down from $248.45 just before the earnings. At this price, is it a buy or sell? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).

Now Could Be The Perfect Time To Invest In These Stocks

Check out the high-quality names we’ve flagged in our Top 5 Strong Momentum Stocks for this week. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 244% over the last five years (as of June 30, 2025).

Stocks that have made our list include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,326% between June 2020 and June 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-micro-cap company Kadant (+351% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today.