Silver prices are retreating from a historic peak after two of the most prominent voices in finance issued a stark reality check to investors riding the white metal's parabolic surge.
The Peak And The Pivot
On Jan. 29, silver reached a staggering all-time high of $121.6700 per ounce. However, the euphoria was short-lived.
By Jan. 30, the market witnessed a sharp correction, with silver spot prices falling to $108.8400—a drop of 5.90%, as of the publication of this article.
This sudden $6.82 slide coincided with a series of warnings from veteran market watchers who suggest the rally has disconnected from fundamental reality.
Cramer's Contrarian Call
Jim Cramer, host of CNBC's Mad Money, took to X to dampen the enthusiasm of silver bulls. Despite the metal's record-breaking performance, Cramer signaled that the momentum might be shifting back toward gold.
“The unwind of gold? I think silver is way overvalued,” Cramer stated.
His assessment suggests that the rapid appreciation of silver may have reached a point of exhaustion, making it vulnerable to a significant reversal as investors rotate back into more stable safe-haven assets.
The unwind of gold? I think silver is way overvalued
While many retail investors have pointed to supply deficits as the catalyst for the triple-digit price tag, futures market trader Peter Brandt offered a more technical and sobering perspective.
Brandt noted that the COMEX traded a massive 4.3 billion ounces of silver in a single week—the equivalent of 5.2 years of global production. Brandt warned that current prices would inevitably trigger a “pipeline glut” by altering the behavior of both producers and consumers.
“If I am the CEO of a low cost-of-production mining operation, I would be INSANE for not hedging at least three years of production at $110/oz,” Brandt explained.
He further cautioned that sustained high prices would lead to a shift in the Silver Institute's supply and demand tables: “Take the Silver Institute’s S&D table. Now, double or even triple the Recycling supply (which will happen) and reduce demand by 10% as the cost of Silver drives industry to alternative uses because of price, and you then begin to create a pipeline glut.”
SILVER SOMETHING TO THINK ABOUT With all the hoopla in Silver, let me suggest something you might not be thinking about. We always need to think "below the surface," down as many layers as possible. So far this week Comex has traded 4.3 BILLION ounces of Silver — NOT PAPER…
As the market digests these warnings, the question remains whether the drop to $108 is a temporary dip or the beginning of the “unwind” predicted by the experts. For now, the “supply shortage” narrative is facing its toughest test yet.
Here’s a list of silver and silver miners-linked ETFs for investors to consider.
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