Molina (MOH) Q4 Earnings: How Key Metrics Compare to Wall Street Estimates

Molina (MOH) reported $11.38 billion in revenue for the quarter ended December 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 8.3%. EPS of -$2.75 for the same period compares to $5.05 a year ago.

The reported revenue represents a surprise of +5.32% over the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $10.8 billion. With the consensus EPS estimate being $0.43, the EPS surprise was -733.2%.

While investors scrutinize revenue and earnings changes year-over-year and how they compare with Wall Street expectations to determine their next move, some key metrics always offer a more accurate picture of a company's financial health.

As these metrics influence top- and bottom-line performance, comparing them to the year-ago numbers and what analysts estimated helps investors project a stock's price performance more accurately.

Here is how Molina performed in the just reported quarter in terms of the metrics most widely monitored and projected by Wall Street analysts:

• MCR - Total: 94.6% versus 93% estimated by four analysts on average.
• MCR - Medicare: 97.5% versus the three-analyst average estimate of 94.3%.
• MCR - Marketplace: 99% compared to the 94.8% average estimate based on three analysts.
• Ending Membership by Program - Total: 6 million compared to the 5.52 million average estimate based on three analysts.
• Ending Membership by Program - Medicaid: 4.57 million versus 4.59 million estimated by three analysts on average.
• Revenue- Premium revenue: $10.72 billion versus $10.22 billion estimated by four analysts on average. Compared to the year-ago quarter, this number represents a +7.3% change.
• Revenue- Premium tax revenue: $538 million versus $436.64 million estimated by four analysts on average. Compared to the year-ago quarter, this number represents a +40.5% change.
• Revenue- Premium revenue- Medicare: $1.55 billion compared to the $1.36 billion average estimate based on three analysts. The reported number represents a change of +19.9% year over year.
• Revenue- Premium revenue- Medicaid: $8.07 billion versus $7.76 billion estimated by three analysts on average. Compared to the year-ago quarter, this number represents a +0.3% change.
• Revenue- Premium revenue- Marketplace: $1.09 billion versus $1.06 billion estimated by three analysts on average. Compared to the year-ago quarter, this number represents a +67.1% change.
• Revenue- Investment income: $98 million versus $100.1 million estimated by two analysts on average. Compared to the year-ago quarter, this number represents a -11.7% change.
• Revenue- Other revenue: $24 million versus $22.81 million estimated by two analysts on average. Compared to the year-ago quarter, this number represents a +9.1% change.

View all Key Company Metrics for Molina here>>>

Shares of Molina have returned +0.9% over the past month versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +0.5% change. The stock currently has a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell), indicating that it could underperform the broader market in the near term.

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This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).

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