Allison Transmission (ALSN) Q4 Earnings: What To Expect

Transmission provider Allison Transmission (NYSE:ALSN) will be reporting earnings this Monday afternoon. Here’s what investors should know.

Allison Transmission missed analysts’ revenue expectations last quarter, reporting revenues of $693 million, down 15.9% year on year. It was a disappointing quarter for the company, with a significant miss of analysts’ revenue estimates and a significant miss of analysts’ EBITDA estimates.

Is Allison Transmission a buy or sell going into earnings? Read our full analysis here, it’s free for active Edge members.

This quarter, the market is expecting Allison Transmission’s revenue to decline 8.7% year on year, a reversal from the 2.7% increase it recorded in the same quarter last year.

Analysts covering the company have generally reconfirmed their estimates over the last 30 days, suggesting they anticipate the business to stay the course heading into earnings. Allison Transmission has missed Wall Street’s revenue estimates multiple times over the last two years.

Looking at Allison Transmission’s peers in the heavy transportation equipment segment, some have already reported their Q4 results, giving us a hint as to what we can expect. Greenbrier’s revenues decreased 19.4% year on year, beating analysts’ expectations by 7.7%, and Trinity reported a revenue decline of 2.9%, topping estimates by 7.1%. Greenbrier traded down 10.3% following the results while Trinity was up 10.7%.

Read our full analysis of Greenbrier’s results here and Trinity’s results here.

There has been positive sentiment among investors in the heavy transportation equipment segment, with share prices up 6.7% on average over the last month. Allison Transmission is up 8.6% during the same time and is heading into earnings with an average analyst price target of $114.80 (compared to the current share price of $118.02).

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