Vehicle systems manufacturer Commercial Vehicle Group (NASDAQ:CVGI)
will be announcing earnings results this Tuesday after the bell. Here’s what to look for.
Commercial Vehicle Group missed analysts’ revenue expectations last quarter, reporting revenues of $152.5 million, down 11.2% year on year. It was a disappointing quarter for the company, with full-year EBITDA guidance missing analysts’ expectations significantly and a miss of analysts’ revenue estimates.
This quarter, the market is expecting Commercial Vehicle Group’s revenue to decline 9.9% year on year, improving from the 15.7% decrease it recorded in the same quarter last year.
Analysts covering the company have generally reconfirmed their estimates over the last 30 days, suggesting they anticipate the business to stay the course heading into earnings. Commercial Vehicle Group has missed Wall Street’s revenue estimates multiple times over the last two years.
Looking at Commercial Vehicle Group’s peers in the heavy transportation equipment segment, some have already reported their Q4 results, giving us a hint as to what we can expect. Douglas Dynamics delivered year-on-year revenue growth of 28.6%, beating analysts’ expectations by 8.6%, and Federal Signal reported revenues up 26.5%, topping estimates by 9.5%. Douglas Dynamics traded up 4.1% following the results while Federal Signal’s stock price was unchanged.
Debates around the economy’s health and the impact of potential tariffs and corporate tax cuts have caused much uncertainty in 2025. While some of the heavy transportation equipment stocks have shown solid performance in this choppy environment, the group has generally underperformed, with share prices down 8.3% on average over the last month. Commercial Vehicle Group is down 11.3% during the same time and is heading into earnings with an average analyst price target of $4 (compared to the current share price of $1.55).
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