Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX): Among the Best Materials Stocks to Buy According to Hedge Funds

We recently compiled a list of the 11 Best Materials Stocks to Buy According to Hedge Funds. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (NYSE:FCX) stands against the other material stocks.

Materials stocks are those companies that produce chemicals, construction materials, and paper products. Businesses involved in the exploration and processing of commodities are also included in this sector.

Materials demand is cyclical, rendering sector players extremely vulnerable to economic fluctuations. The demand for basic materials tends to drop when economic conditions deteriorate, which lowers prices and impacts the profitability of material producers. However, the materials sector can be impacted by a variety of factors, including the economic cycle. Supply chain challenges, legislation, and inflation are just a few of the many factors that could impact demand, prices, and industry profitability in the materials industry.

After Russia invaded Ukraine in 2022, a new challenge arose in the industry. The region provides essential metals for steel production and exports minerals for fertilizer, such as potash; therefore, the war caused disruptions in the worldwide supply chain for resources. Most basic materials' costs increased due to supply constraints, which had a significant impact on both the industry and the overall economy.

Looking forward, a cautiously positive view for the materials sector in 2025 has been strengthened by long-term structural demand and improved macroeconomic conditions. Persistent economic concerns in the United States and a noticeable slowdown in China, two important markets for industrial materials, burdened the sector in 2024. However, according to Fidelity, the situation seems more favorable for growth in 2025 as China implements economic stimulus measures and central banks in major economies currently lean toward monetary easing. Some subsectors stand to benefit from both a short-term cyclical recovery and advantageous long-term supply-demand imbalances, especially those related to copper and other crucial inputs for infrastructure and electrification. Furthermore, the sector's rate-sensitive industries, such as chemicals, may gain from lower interest rates, while more robust, high-quality firms may provide defensive strength. The sector is positioned for a potentially better performance in 2025 due to a combination of financial assistance, a possible recovery in Chinese demand, and strategic exposure to growth-linked materials.

Currently, according to a strategist for equity derivatives at Barclays, Stefano Pascale, options traders are undervaluing the risks associated with materials stocks because the sector's predicted volatility is close to historic lows, making downside protection cheap. Steel and paper companies are among the materials stocks that are susceptible to tariffs because of their dependence on international supply chains, and additional tariffs are anticipated to be announced soon by President Trump.

Despite this, Pascale commented:

"The volatility market is giving you an exceptionally good opportunity here of cheap materials puts. Even if you didn’t have a trade war, this would be, historically speaking, a very attractive trade."

Materials underperformed in 2018 due to Trump's tariffs, and similar drops may be seen this year, with the Dow down 7%. According to statistics provided by Bloomberg Intelligence, sell-side analysts have lowered their expectations for the material sector, anticipating earnings to climb 5.9% this year, down from an estimate of 16% in January. However, traders must consider liquidity risks, as the bid-ask spread for materials options is $0.20, as opposed to $0.04 for broader market options.

Methodology

We sifted through the Materials ETFs and online rankings to form an initial list of the 25 materials stocks. From the resultant dataset, we chose 11 stocks with the highest number of hedge fund investors, using Insider Monkey’s database of 1009 hedge funds in Q4 2024 to gauge hedge fund sentiment for stocks.

Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter's strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 373.4% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 218 percentage points (see more details here).

Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (NYSE:FCX)

Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 88

Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (NYSE:FCX) is ranked second on our list of the best material stocks. It owns a stake in ten copper mines, including 49% of the Grasberg copper and gold operations in Indonesia, 55% of the Cerro Verde mine in Peru, and 72% of Morenci in Arizona. In 2024, it sold around 1.2 million metric tons of copper (its share), ranking among the biggest copper miners globally in terms of volume. Furthermore, it sold 70 million pounds of molybdenum and roughly 900,000 ounces of gold, primarily from Grasberg. The firm had around 25 years of copper reserves at the end of December 2024.

In 2024, Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (NYSE:FCX) improved its EBITDA by 14% to $10 billion. By increasing the leach opportunity, the company's 2025 projection aims to achieve a run rate of 300 million pounds by the end of 2025. Furthermore, the business is moving forward with several organic growth initiatives that should increase the value of its stock in the years to come. The brownfield expansions in South America and the United States are included in this. These events have resulted in a favorable forecast for the business in 2025.

Morgan Stanley increased its target price for Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (NYSE:FCX) from $44 to $45 per share. Global GDP continues to slow, and recession fears will continue to pose challenges for mining companies, according to the analyst, who still prefers base metal equities over iron ore names in the firm's Americas Metals and Mining coverage due to tighter supply outlooks.

Overall, FCX ranks 2nd on our list of the best materials stocks to buy according to hedge funds. While we acknowledge the potential of FCX as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter time frame. There is an AI stock that went up since the beginning of 2025, while popular AI stocks lost around 25%. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than FCX but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about this cheapest AI stock.

READ NEXT: 20 Best AI Stock To Buy Now and 30 Best Stocks to Buy Now According to Billionaires.

Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.