Resideo Tops Estimates In First Post-Spin Quarter, But Inflation And A Soft Q4 Guide Temper The Clean Beat

Resideo Technologies delivered a clean beat in its first quarter as a standalone company following the August 3 spin-off of ADI Global Distribution. Standalone adjusted EPS of $0.52 topped the $0.45 consensus and the $0.50 Earnings Whisper number, a 4.0% surprise. Revenue of $727.0 million beat the $716.4 million consensus by 1.5%. Both revenue and standalone adjusted EBITDA of $154 million landed near the top of the ranges management set in August.

The year-over-year comparisons need context. Earnings Whispers' normalized figures show earnings down 40.2% and revenue down 61.0%. Those declines reflect a prior-year base that still included the much larger ADI distribution business. On the company's comparable continuing-operations basis, the picture is different:

• Revenue grew 3%.
• Standalone adjusted EPS rose 8% from $0.48.
• Standalone adjusted EBITDA increased 5%.

The central tension is that the top line is improving while profitability is stuck. Growth is accelerating, but margins are being squeezed by inflation, and the fourth-quarter outlook implies the growth momentum will cool.

The quality of the quarter deserves scrutiny on two fronts. First, GAAP diluted EPS from continuing operations was just $0.14, down 71% from $0.49. The drags were $30 million of separation costs, $20 million of restructuring and debt-extinguishment charges, and a normalized tax provision versus last year's benefit. Second, gross margin of 40.4% marked a 14th straight quarter of year-over-year expansion, but only barely. It was helped by $6 million of tariff refunds ($4 million net) that management does not expect to recur. Cash generation was also thin. Operating cash flow from continuing operations was only $33 million because receivables rose $48 million and inventory rose $59 million.

The call preserved a credible growth story. Revenue excluding OEM Security grew 6%, up from roughly 4% for the comparable Products & Solutions business in the second quarter. Growth was broad:

• Retail rose 15%, driven by the new UL 10th-edition combination smoke/CO detector, which management positions as margin-accretive.
• Electrical climbed about 15%, with record volume and competitive conversions that management cites as share gains.
• OEM combustion grew 9-10%.
• HVAC improved to mid-single-digit growth after declining 1% in the first quarter.

New CFO Shane Harrison reiterated the Investor Day targets: mid-single-digit growth, about one point of gross margin expansion per year, and high-single-digit EBITDA growth through 2030. Management's tone was notably more confident than in recent quarters.

Bears still have legitimate ammunition:

• **Inflation outpacing price.** Input-cost inflation in memory, metals and circuit boards was roughly a $13 million third-quarter headwind against only $3 million of price realized. Management expects inflation to be higher in the fourth quarter, so gross profit dollars should dip modestly even if margin percentage edges up.
• **OEM Security shrinkage.** The segment fell 34% to $33 million as a large customer brings production in-house, and is guided to about $25 million in the fourth quarter. This decline was flagged in the second quarter.
• **Slower core growth ahead.** Core growth is guided to only flat to low single digits in the fourth quarter, citing four fewer selling days, currency and SKU rationalization.
• **Housing weakness.** Security distribution is flat amid soft existing-home sales and new construction.

Fourth-quarter EPS guidance of $0.42-$0.48 brackets last year's $0.45, implying roughly flat earnings. Full-year revenue guidance moved to $2.927-$2.947 billion, and EBITDA guidance moved to $614-$624 million. Both midpoints rose only modestly, which is consistent with in-line guidance rather than a reset higher.

The balance sheet changed materially. Resideo used ADI's $900 million dividend plus $200 million of cash to repay $1.1 billion of debt. Gross debt fell to $2.1 billion, though cash dropped to $229 million. Footprint actions should support the margin story over time. These include closing a plant in Scotland, exiting three underutilized plants and pruning SKUs, but they will also generate restructuring charges in the near term.

Investor sentiment deteriorated sharply heading into the report. It fell from -0.16 to -0.83, a deeply negative reading that suggests a skeptical shareholder base. Price action fits that view:

• Shares closed at $20.05 before the release, down 9.9% from the open after the August report.
• The stock sits 32.2% below its 200-day moving average of $29.58.
• It set a 52-week low of $15.90 on October 14.

The stock had already rallied 26% off that low before the release, so some of the operational improvement may have been anticipated rather than ignored.

The bottom line is that Resideo's debut standalone quarter answered the most immediate questions: core growth is broadening, execution matched the high end of guidance, and leverage fell sharply. The harder question is margins. With inflation running well ahead of pricing, tariff refunds fading and fourth-quarter growth slowing, the company still has to prove it can deliver the promised point of annual gross margin expansion. Until that happens, the beat looks more like stabilization than a decisive inflection.

Read our earnings preview for Resideo Technologies, Inc.: https://www.earningswhispers.com/article/REZI/22762

This earnings review was originally published on Earnings Whispers.

This article is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice. Earnings Whispers and its staff may hold positions in the securities mentioned. It is AI-assisted, based on proprietary Earnings Whispers data and company reports, and edited by Earnings Whispers staff.