Vistra Corp. (VST) Increases Yet Falls Behind Market: What Investors Need to Know

By Zacks Equity Research | May 02, 2025, 5:45 PM

Vistra Corp. (VST) closed the latest trading day at $139.28, indicating a +1.44% change from the previous session's end. This move lagged the S&P 500's daily gain of 1.47%. On the other hand, the Dow registered a gain of 1.39%, and the technology-centric Nasdaq increased by 1.51%.

Heading into today, shares of the company had gained 26.88% over the past month, outpacing the Utilities sector's gain of 0.44% and the S&P 500's loss of 0.47% in that time.

The investment community will be paying close attention to the earnings performance of Vistra Corp. in its upcoming release. The company is slated to reveal its earnings on May 7, 2025. It is anticipated that the company will report an EPS of $0.54, marking a 134.78% rise compared to the same quarter of the previous year. Meanwhile, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenue is projecting net sales of $4.4 billion, up 44.14% from the year-ago period.

VST's full-year Zacks Consensus Estimates are calling for earnings of $5.72 per share and revenue of $21.25 billion. These results would represent year-over-year changes of -18.29% and +23.35%, respectively.

It's also important for investors to be aware of any recent modifications to analyst estimates for Vistra Corp. These latest adjustments often mirror the shifting dynamics of short-term business patterns. With this in mind, we can consider positive estimate revisions a sign of optimism about the company's business outlook.

Research indicates that these estimate revisions are directly correlated with near-term share price momentum. To utilize this, we have created the Zacks Rank, a proprietary model that integrates these estimate changes and provides a functional rating system.

The Zacks Rank system, running from #1 (Strong Buy) to #5 (Strong Sell), holds an admirable track record of superior performance, independently audited, with #1 stocks contributing an average annual return of +25% since 1988. Over the past month, the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate has moved 0.45% lower. Vistra Corp. is currently a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold).

With respect to valuation, Vistra Corp. is currently being traded at a Forward P/E ratio of 24.01. This indicates a premium in contrast to its industry's Forward P/E of 18.35.

Meanwhile, VST's PEG ratio is currently 2.26. This metric is used similarly to the famous P/E ratio, but the PEG ratio also takes into account the stock's expected earnings growth rate. As the market closed yesterday, the Utility - Electric Power industry was having an average PEG ratio of 2.69.

The Utility - Electric Power industry is part of the Utilities sector. This industry currently has a Zacks Industry Rank of 30, which puts it in the top 13% of all 250+ industries.

The Zacks Industry Rank evaluates the power of our distinct industry groups by determining the average Zacks Rank of the individual stocks forming the groups. Our research shows that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1.

Remember to apply Zacks.com to follow these and more stock-moving metrics during the upcoming trading sessions.

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This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).

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